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Wk 5 · 2026

Auburn Tigers at Tennessee Volunteers — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Neyland Stadium, Knoxville, TN · ESPN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · 3-2
14
at
3:30pET
TENN -6 · total 54.5 DraftKings opened -7.5 · 1.5 toward AUB
Ratings differential TENN by 7.7
SEC · 5-1
24

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Tennessee is ranked #15 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Auburn: +9.2#33
Efficiency margin
Tennessee: +14.5#16
Auburn: 33.9
Offense (pts/100)
Tennessee: 38.8
Auburn: 15.7
Defense (pts/100)
Tennessee: 15.2
Auburn: 70.0
Pace (plays/g)
Tennessee: 69.0
Auburn: 5.71
Yards / play
Tennessee: 6.01
Auburn: 4.76
Yards / play allowed
Tennessee: 4.71
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Auburn: 26.8
Points / game
Tennessee: 34.7
Auburn: 21.4
Points allowed
Tennessee: 15.5
Auburn: 400
Yards / game
Tennessee: 415
Auburn: 357
Yards allowed
Tennessee: 294
Auburn: 208
Pass yds allowed
Tennessee: 161
Auburn: 149
Rush yds allowed
Tennessee: 132
Auburn: 1.80
Turnovers / game
Tennessee: 1.33
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Auburn form

L 14-24at TENNW 21-15vs VANL 39-44vs FLAW 43-8vs USMW 17-16vs BAY
2026 season

Tennessee form

W 24-17at ARKW 24-14vs AUBL 17-20vs TEXW 42-9vs KENNW 45-24at GT
2026 season

Auburn this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Tennessee this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentAuburnTennessee
Vanderbilt
SEC
vs W 21-15 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
LSU
SEC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Arkansas
SEC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat W 24-17 preview
Alabama
SEC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Auburn leads 4–2 · Tennessee won the last one
6 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.8 points toward Auburn
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03Auburn 14 — 24 Tennesseeat TENNTennessee
20202020-11-21Tennessee 17 — 30 Auburnat AUBAuburn
20182018-10-13Tennessee 30 — 24 Auburnat AUBTennessee
20132013-11-09Auburn 55 — 23 Tennesseeat TENNAuburn
20092009-10-03Auburn 26 — 22 Tennesseeat TENNAuburn
20082008-09-27Tennessee 12 — 14 Auburnat AUBAuburn

Auburn leaders 2026 regular season

PassingByrum Brown QB #17104/159, 1055 YDS, 7 TD, 7 INT
Tristan Ti'a QB #102/4, 39 YDS
RushingByrum Brown QB #1781 CAR, 344 YDS, 4 TD
Jeremiah Cobb RB #2345 CAR, 245 YDS, 2 TD
Omar Mabson II RB #2932 CAR, 213 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKeshaun Singleton WR #1129 REC, 322 YDS, 1 TD
Chas Nimrod WR #525 REC, 273 YDS, 2 TD
Jeremiah Koger WR #411 REC, 182 YDS
DeShawn Spencer WR #95 REC, 44 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesElijah Melendez LB #943
Xavier Atkins LB #1737
Eric Winters S #531
SacksXavier Atkins LB #173
Elijah Melendez LB #93
Da'Shawn Womack EDGE #152
InterceptionsAndre Jordan Jr. CB #222
Sylvester Smith-Reed S #01
Da'Shawn Womack EDGE #151

Tennessee leaders 2026 regular season

PassingFaizon Brandon QB #1161/101, 697 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
George MacIntyre QB #1214/20, 148 YDS, 1 TD
RushingDeSean Bishop RB #1888 CAR, 540 YDS, 7 TD
Daune Morris RB #1746 CAR, 299 YDS, 2 TD
Faizon Brandon QB #1153 CAR, 130 YDS, 3 TD
ReceivingMike Matthews WR #418 REC, 318 YDS, 3 TD
Braylon Staley WR #1417 REC, 140 YDS, 2 TD
Radarious Jackson WR #39 REC, 115 YDS
Ethan Davis TE #03 REC, 43 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesArion Carter LB #733
Amare Campbell LB #032
TJ Metcalf DB #123
SacksXavier Gilliam DL #24
Mariyon Dye DL #94
Tyree Weathersby DL #183.5
InterceptionsDejuan Lane DB #102
Kayin Lee DB #141
Jeremiah Telander LB #221
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.