Wk 1 · 2026
Baylor Bears vs Auburn Tigers — Sat, Sep 5
Sat, Sep 5 ·
Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA
· ABC · Disney+ FINAL
Weather
This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
vs
3:30pET
AUB -6.5 · total 58.5 DraftKings opened -7 · 0.5 toward BAY
Ratings differential AUB by 0.2
What is at stake
A neutral-site game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Aflac Kickoff.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
no home-field adjustment at a neutral site.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Baylor form
W 55-19at ASUW 23-13vs COLOW 36-19vs LTW 44-3vs PVL 16-17at AUB
2026 season
Auburn form
L 14-24at TENNW 21-15vs VANL 39-44vs FLAW 43-8vs USMW 17-16vs BAY
2026 season
Baylor this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Auburn this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Auburn leads 2–0 · Auburn has won the last 2
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.5 points toward Auburn
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-05 | Baylor 16 — 17 Auburn | neutral | Auburn |
| 2025 | 2025-08-29 | Auburn 38 — 24 Baylor | at BAY | Auburn |
Baylor leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | DJ Lagway QB #2 | 71/133, 860 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT |
| Nate Bennett QB #12 | 47/62, 581 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Dawson Pendergrass RB #35 | 81 CAR, 316 YDS, 1 TD |
| Caden Knighten RB #11 | 49 CAR, 244 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Ryelan Morris RB #25 | 22 CAR, 182 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Gavin Freeman WR #6 | 42 REC, 479 YDS, 2 TD |
| Louis Brown IV WR #4 | 15 REC, 253 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Jayden McGowan WR #15 | 9 REC, 210 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jadon Porter WR #3 | 9 REC, 172 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Travion Barnes LB #5 | 33 |
| Micah Gifford S #24 | 30 | |
| Devon Jordan CB #7 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Daniel Cobbs S #14 | 3 |
| Bo Onu S #21 | 3 | |
| Devonte Tezino DL #59 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Devon Jordan CB #7 | 2 |
| Reggie Bush II CB #22 | 1 | |
| Micah Gifford S #24 | 1 |
Auburn leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Byrum Brown QB #17 | 104/159, 1055 YDS, 7 TD, 7 INT |
| Tristan Ti'a QB #10 | 2/4, 39 YDS | |
| Rushing | Byrum Brown QB #17 | 81 CAR, 344 YDS, 4 TD |
| Jeremiah Cobb RB #23 | 45 CAR, 245 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Omar Mabson II RB #29 | 32 CAR, 213 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Keshaun Singleton WR #11 | 29 REC, 322 YDS, 1 TD |
| Chas Nimrod WR #5 | 25 REC, 273 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jeremiah Koger WR #4 | 11 REC, 182 YDS | |
| DeShawn Spencer WR #9 | 5 REC, 44 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Elijah Melendez LB #9 | 43 |
| Xavier Atkins LB #17 | 37 | |
| Eric Winters S #5 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Xavier Atkins LB #17 | 3 |
| Elijah Melendez LB #9 | 3 | |
| Da'Shawn Womack EDGE #15 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Andre Jordan Jr. CB #22 | 2 |
| Sylvester Smith-Reed S #0 | 1 | |
| Da'Shawn Womack EDGE #15 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.