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Wk 1 · 2026

Baylor Bears vs Auburn Tigers — Sat, Sep 5

Sat, Sep 5 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta, GA · ABC · Disney+ FINAL

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
Big 12 · 4-1
16
vs
3:30pET
AUB -6.5 · total 58.5 DraftKings opened -7 · 0.5 toward BAY
Ratings differential AUB by 0.2
SEC · 3-2
17

What is at stake

A neutral-site game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Aflac Kickoff.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus no home-field adjustment at a neutral site. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Baylor: +9.0#34
Efficiency margin
Auburn: +9.2#33
Baylor: 37.0
Offense (pts/100)
Auburn: 33.9
Baylor: 19.0
Defense (pts/100)
Auburn: 15.7
Baylor: 80.8
Pace (plays/g)
Auburn: 70.0
Baylor: 5.71
Yards / play
Auburn: 5.71
Baylor: 4.52
Yards / play allowed
Auburn: 4.76
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Baylor: 34.8
Points / game
Auburn: 26.8
Baylor: 14.2
Points allowed
Auburn: 21.4
Baylor: 461
Yards / game
Auburn: 400
Baylor: 327
Yards allowed
Auburn: 357
Baylor: 229
Pass yds allowed
Auburn: 208
Baylor: 97
Rush yds allowed
Auburn: 149
Baylor: 1.60
Turnovers / game
Auburn: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Baylor form

W 55-19at ASUW 23-13vs COLOW 36-19vs LTW 44-3vs PVL 16-17at AUB
2026 season

Auburn form

L 14-24at TENNW 21-15vs VANL 39-44vs FLAW 43-8vs USMW 17-16vs BAY
2026 season

Baylor this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Auburn this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Auburn leads 2–0 · Auburn has won the last 2
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.5 points toward Auburn
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-05Baylor 16 — 17 AuburnneutralAuburn
20252025-08-29Auburn 38 — 24 Baylorat BAYAuburn

Baylor leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDJ Lagway QB #271/133, 860 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT
Nate Bennett QB #1247/62, 581 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
RushingDawson Pendergrass RB #3581 CAR, 316 YDS, 1 TD
Caden Knighten RB #1149 CAR, 244 YDS, 2 TD
Ryelan Morris RB #2522 CAR, 182 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingGavin Freeman WR #642 REC, 479 YDS, 2 TD
Louis Brown IV WR #415 REC, 253 YDS, 3 TD
Jayden McGowan WR #159 REC, 210 YDS, 4 TD
Jadon Porter WR #39 REC, 172 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesTravion Barnes LB #533
Micah Gifford S #2430
Devon Jordan CB #722
SacksDaniel Cobbs S #143
Bo Onu S #213
Devonte Tezino DL #592
InterceptionsDevon Jordan CB #72
Reggie Bush II CB #221
Micah Gifford S #241

Auburn leaders 2026 regular season

PassingByrum Brown QB #17104/159, 1055 YDS, 7 TD, 7 INT
Tristan Ti'a QB #102/4, 39 YDS
RushingByrum Brown QB #1781 CAR, 344 YDS, 4 TD
Jeremiah Cobb RB #2345 CAR, 245 YDS, 2 TD
Omar Mabson II RB #2932 CAR, 213 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKeshaun Singleton WR #1129 REC, 322 YDS, 1 TD
Chas Nimrod WR #525 REC, 273 YDS, 2 TD
Jeremiah Koger WR #411 REC, 182 YDS
DeShawn Spencer WR #95 REC, 44 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesElijah Melendez LB #943
Xavier Atkins LB #1737
Eric Winters S #531
SacksXavier Atkins LB #173
Elijah Melendez LB #93
Da'Shawn Womack EDGE #152
InterceptionsAndre Jordan Jr. CB #222
Sylvester Smith-Reed S #01
Da'Shawn Womack EDGE #151
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.