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Wk 12 · 2026

Clemson Tigers at Duke Blue Devils — Fri, Nov 20

Fri, Nov 20 · Wallace Wade Stadium, Durham, NC · ESPN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
ACC · 3-2
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential DUKE by 4.9

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Clemson: +4.0#53
Efficiency margin
Duke: +6.5#42
Clemson: 31.2
Offense (pts/100)
Duke: 34.4
Clemson: 18.2
Defense (pts/100)
Duke: 18.9
Clemson: 66.6
Pace (plays/g)
Duke: 70.6
Clemson: 4.82
Yards / play
Duke: 6.47
Clemson: 5.49
Yards / play allowed
Duke: 4.95
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Clemson: 19.4
Points / game
Duke: 34.0
Clemson: 25.8
Points allowed
Duke: 14.4
Clemson: 321
Yards / game
Duke: 457
Clemson: 382
Yards allowed
Duke: 286
Clemson: 217
Pass yds allowed
Duke: 202
Clemson: 165
Rush yds allowed
Duke: 84
Clemson: 1.80
Turnovers / game
Duke: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Clemson form

L 13-41vs MIAW 24-10at CALW 28-20vs UNCW 22-7vs GASOL 10-51at LSU
2026 season

Duke form

L 25-28at GTW 62-7vs W&MW 35-7vs STANW 31-27at ILLW 17-3vs TULN
2026 season

Clemson this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Duke this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentClemsonDuke
North Carolina
ACC
vs W 28-20 previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Miami
ACC
vs L 13-41 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Georgia Tech
ACC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewat L 25-28 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Clemson leads 4–2 · Duke has won the last 2
6 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 17.3 points toward Clemson
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-01Duke 46 — 45 Clemsonat CLEMDuke
20232023-09-04Clemson 7 — 28 Dukeat DUKEDuke
20182018-11-17Duke 6 — 35 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20122012-11-03Clemson 56 — 20 Dukeat DUKEClemson
20082008-11-15Duke 7 — 31 Clemsonat CLEMClemson
20072007-11-03Clemson 47 — 10 Dukeat DUKEClemson

Clemson leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTait Reynolds QB #283/128, 816 YDS, 1 TD, 3 INT
Christopher Vizzina QB #1714/23, 102 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingGideon Davidson RB #866 CAR, 371 YDS, 4 TD
Chris Johnson Jr. RB #1622 CAR, 101 YDS
Jarvis Green RB #2121 CAR, 88 YDS
ReceivingBryant Wesco Jr. WR #1225 REC, 315 YDS
T.J. Moore WR #125 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD
Tyler Brown WR #621 REC, 188 YDS
Olsen Patt-Henry TE #117 REC, 62 YDS
Defense
TacklesCorey Myrick S #2243
Sammy Brown LB #4740
Jeremiah Alexander LB #735
SacksWill Heldt DE #134
Jahiem Lawson DE #151
Ronan Hanafin S #51
InterceptionsElliot Washington II CB #33
Ashton Hampton CB #21

Duke leaders 2026 regular season

PassingWalker Eget QB #258/93, 721 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT
Dan Mahan QB #106/9, 126 YDS, 3 TD
RushingNate Sheppard RB #2091 CAR, 644 YDS, 6 TD
CJ Campbell Jr. RB #036 CAR, 139 YDS
Jayvian Tanelus RB #2216 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingJeremiah Hasley TE #8513 REC, 195 YDS
Jonah Burton WR #613 REC, 187 YDS, 1 TD
Jaivon Solomon WR #45 REC, 106 YDS, 1 TD
Jared Richardson WR #175 REC, 82 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesNick Morris Jr. LB #723
Andrew Pellicciotta S #3522
Dylan Flowers CB #019
SacksBradley Gompers LB #243
Kevin O'Connor DE #152
Bryce Davis DE #122
InterceptionsEvan Smith CB #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.