Wk 12 · 2026
Colorado Buffaloes at Cincinnati Bearcats — Sat, Nov 21
Sat, Nov 21 ·
Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 2-3
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CIN by 9.5
Big 12 · 4-1
What is at stake
A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Colorado form
L 7-29vs TTUL 13-23at BAYL 7-41at NUW 52-21vs WEBW 14-13at GT
2026 season
Cincinnati form
L 7-34at ARIZW 31-26vs KSUW 35-31vs M-OHW 62-10vs WCUW 34-15vs BC
2026 season
Colorado this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Cincinnati this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Colorado | Cincinnati |
|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Big 12 | vs L 7-29 preview | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Utah Big 12 | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Kansas St Big 12 | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs W 31-26 preview |
| Houston Big 12 | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Colorado leads 1–0 · Colorado won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
11.0 points toward Colorado
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 2024-10-26 | Cincinnati 23 — 34 Colorado | at COLO | Colorado |
Colorado leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Julian Lewis QB #10 | 61/95, 733 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT |
| Isaac Wilson QB #16 | 40/71, 443 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT | |
| Rushing | Micah Welch RB #29 | 44 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD |
| JaQuail Smith RB #23 | 38 CAR, 186 YDS | |
| Damian Henderson II RB #26 | 26 CAR, 127 YDS | |
| Receiving | Joseph Williams WR #8 | 32 REC, 454 YDS, 5 TD |
| DeAndre Moore Jr. WR #3 | 18 REC, 242 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Quanell Farrakhan Jr. WR #14 | 12 REC, 148 YDS | |
| Quentin Gibson WR #6 | 9 REC, 73 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Randon Fontenette DB #7 | 42 |
| Gideon Lampron LB #44 | 38 | |
| Naeten Mitchell DB #4 | 37 | |
| Sacks | Lamont Lester Jr. DL #56 | 4 |
| Toby Anene DE #53 | 3 | |
| Santana Hopper DL #97 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Randon Fontenette DB #7 | 1 |
| Jason Stokes Jr. DB #13 | 1 |
Cincinnati leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | JC French IV QB #4 | 86/123, 949 YDS, 6 TD |
| Liam O'Brien QB #10 | 5/5, 18 YDS | |
| Rushing | Gi'Bran Payne RB #6 | 62 CAR, 392 YDS, 2 TD |
| Cole Tabb RB #3 | 34 CAR, 330 YDS, 6 TD | |
| JC French IV QB #4 | 50 CAR, 193 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Receiving | JV Gibson WR #11 | 18 REC, 267 YDS, 3 TD |
| Isaiah Johnson WR #0 | 21 REC, 142 YDS | |
| Malachi Henry WR #9 | 6 REC, 138 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Larenzo Fenner WR #2 | 10 REC, 124 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Jonathan Thompson LB #22 | 37 |
| Antwan Peek Jr. LB #3 | 36 | |
| Simeon Coleman LB #31 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Josh Hough DL #95 | 3 |
| Jonathan Thompson LB #22 | 2.5 | |
| Drew Logan EDGE #91 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | MJ Cannon DB #2 | 2 |
| Marqavious Saboor LB #5 | 1 | |
| Kenny Worthy CB #8 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.