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Wk 3 · 2026

Colorado Buffaloes at Northwestern Wildcats — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · Northwestern Medicine Field at Martin Stadium, Evanston, IL · Fox FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 2-3
7
at
7:30pET
NU -3.5 · total 47.5 DraftKings opened -4.5 · 1 toward COLO
Ratings differential NU by 20.6
Big Ten · 4-1
41

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Colorado: -4.5#87
Efficiency margin
Northwestern: +13.7#20
Colorado: 26.8
Offense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 37.8
Colorado: 22.3
Defense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 15.1
Colorado: 74.4
Pace (plays/g)
Northwestern: 61.8
Colorado: 5.30
Yards / play
Northwestern: 7.08
Colorado: 5.00
Yards / play allowed
Northwestern: 5.29
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Colorado: 18.6
Points / game
Northwestern: 35.4
Colorado: 25.4
Points allowed
Northwestern: 16.2
Colorado: 394
Yards / game
Northwestern: 437
Colorado: 345
Yards allowed
Northwestern: 381
Colorado: 216
Pass yds allowed
Northwestern: 233
Colorado: 129
Rush yds allowed
Northwestern: 147
Colorado: 2.20
Turnovers / game
Northwestern: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Colorado form

L 7-29vs TTUL 13-23at BAYL 7-41at NUW 52-21vs WEBW 14-13at GT
2026 season

Northwestern form

W 45-14vs BALLW 34-13vs PSUL 23-29at IUW 41-7vs COLOW 34-18vs SDST
2026 season

Colorado this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Northwestern this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Northwestern leads 1–0 · Northwestern won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 34.0 points toward Northwestern
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-19Colorado 7 — 41 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern

Colorado leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJulian Lewis QB #1061/95, 733 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT
Isaac Wilson QB #1640/71, 443 YDS, 2 TD, 3 INT
RushingMicah Welch RB #2944 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD
JaQuail Smith RB #2338 CAR, 186 YDS
Damian Henderson II RB #2626 CAR, 127 YDS
ReceivingJoseph Williams WR #832 REC, 454 YDS, 5 TD
DeAndre Moore Jr. WR #318 REC, 242 YDS, 1 TD
Quanell Farrakhan Jr. WR #1412 REC, 148 YDS
Quentin Gibson WR #69 REC, 73 YDS
Defense
TacklesRandon Fontenette DB #742
Gideon Lampron LB #4438
Naeten Mitchell DB #437
SacksLamont Lester Jr. DL #564
Toby Anene DE #533
Santana Hopper DL #971
InterceptionsRandon Fontenette DB #71
Jason Stokes Jr. DB #131

Northwestern leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAidan Chiles QB #063/89, 900 YDS, 6 TD
RushingCaleb Komolafe RB #552 CAR, 290 YDS, 2 TD
Joseph Himon II RB #620 CAR, 277 YDS, 3 TD
Gavin Sawchuk RB #2733 CAR, 170 YDS
ReceivingGriffin Wilde WR #1716 REC, 281 YDS, 2 TD
Luke Dehnicke TE #8411 REC, 208 YDS
Alex Honig TE #867 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
Drew Wagner WR #1912 REC, 97 YDS
Defense
TacklesRobert Fitzgerald DB #642
Kobie McKinzie LB #232
Braydon Brus LB #3330
SacksBraydon Brus LB #333
Kobie McKinzie LB #21
Jamaal Johnson DL #241
InterceptionsOre Adeyi DB #71
Robert Fitzgerald DB #61
Braydon Brus LB #331
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.