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Wk 1 · 2026

Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors at Stanford Cardinal — Sat, Aug 29

Sat, Aug 29 · Stanford Stadium, Stanford, CA · ACC Network FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Mountain West · 1-5
27
at
7:00pET
STAN -4.5 · total 48.5 DraftKings opened -4 · 0.5 toward STAN
Ratings differential STAN by 5.3
ACC · 2-4
37

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Hawai'i: -15.8#127
Efficiency margin
Stanford: -12.9#114
Hawai'i: 21.7
Offense (pts/100)
Stanford: 25.4
Hawai'i: 28.5
Defense (pts/100)
Stanford: 29.2
Hawai'i: 71.0
Pace (plays/g)
Stanford: 63.2
Hawai'i: 4.97
Yards / play
Stanford: 5.01
Hawai'i: 6.16
Yards / play allowed
Stanford: 6.80
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Hawai'i: 16.7
Points / game
Stanford: 15.7
Hawai'i: 25.7
Points allowed
Stanford: 41.5
Hawai'i: 353
Yards / game
Stanford: 317
Hawai'i: 390
Yards allowed
Stanford: 482
Hawai'i: 220
Pass yds allowed
Stanford: 289
Hawai'i: 170
Rush yds allowed
Stanford: 193
Hawai'i: 1.00
Turnovers / game
Stanford: 0.83
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Hawai'i form

L 12-30at ASUL 16-20vs SJSUL 10-27at WYOW 29-19vs NMSUL 6-21vs UNLV
2026 season

Stanford form

L 7-58at NDL 3-57at WAKEW 34-27vs GTL 7-35at DUKEL 6-45vs MIA
2026 season

Hawai'i this season

Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)

Stanford this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Stanford leads 2–1 · Stanford won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 6.7 points toward Stanford
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-08-29Hawai'i 27 — 37 Stanfordat STANStanford
20252025-08-23Stanford 20 — 23 Hawai'iat HAWHawai'i
20232023-09-01Stanford 37 — 24 Hawai'iat HAWStanford

Hawai'i leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMicah Alejado QB #12132/216, 1361 YDS, 4 TD, 3 INT
Tama Uiliata WR #81/1, 7 YDS, 1 TD
RushingDeVon Rice RB #159 CAR, 276 YDS, 3 TD
Sitani Mikaele RB #2621 CAR, 67 YDS, 1 TD
Cam Barfield RB #011 CAR, 43 YDS
ReceivingKainoa Carvalho WR #622 REC, 249 YDS
Tama Uiliata WR #827 REC, 245 YDS, 1 TD
Devin Alves WR #117 REC, 167 YDS, 1 TD
Audric Harris WR #211 REC, 166 YDS
Defense
TacklesKona Moore DB #238
Jamih Otis LB #1135
Matagi Thompson DB #2531
SacksJulian Smith LB #72
Wynden Ho'ohuli LB #121
Ka'eo Akana DL #101
InterceptionsJamih Otis LB #111
Jaylon Edmond DB #51

Stanford leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDavis Warren QB #8102/173, 1207 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
Michael Mitchell Jr. QB #95/8, 32 YDS
RushingMicah Ford RB #2082 CAR, 302 YDS, 4 TD
Sedrick Irvin RB #2635 CAR, 145 YDS
Champ Hampton RB #346 CAR, 27 YDS
ReceivingCaden High WR #017 REC, 266 YDS, 3 TD
Benji Blackburn TE #8820 REC, 159 YDS
Zion Robinson WR #27 REC, 155 YDS
Nico Brown WR #2310 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesMatt Rose LB #3538
Jay Green S #531
Sam Mattingly LB #1024
SacksGabe Kaminski LB #492
Omar Staples DL #451.5
Sam Mattingly LB #100.5
InterceptionsBrandon Nicholson CB #91
Darrius Davis S #61
Charlie Eckhardt S #391
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.