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Wk 4 · 2026

Incarnate Word Cardinals at Texas State Bobcats — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · UFCU Stadium, San Marcos, TX · USA Net FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Incarnate Word Cardinals
FCS / Other · 0-1
10
at
6:00pET
TXST -30.5 · total 66.5 DraftKings opened -29.5 · 1 toward TXST
No ratings differential: Incarnate Word is not in the ratings file.
Pac-12 · 2-3
63

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Incarnate Word: no data
Efficiency margin
Texas St: -2.5#78
Incarnate Word: no data
Offense (pts/100)
Texas St: 33.6
Incarnate Word: no data
Defense (pts/100)
Texas St: 27.1
Incarnate Word: no data
Pace (plays/g)
Texas St: 78.4
Incarnate Word: no data
Yards / play
Texas St: 6.78
Incarnate Word: no data
Yards / play allowed
Texas St: 5.70
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Incarnate Word: 10.0
Points / game
Texas St: 34.8
Incarnate Word: 63.0
Points allowed
Texas St: 33.2
Incarnate Word: 358
Yards / game
Texas St: 532
Incarnate Word: no data
Yards allowed
Texas St: 423
Incarnate Word: no data
Pass yds allowed
Texas St: 300
Incarnate Word: no data
Rush yds allowed
Texas St: 123
Incarnate Word: 2.00
Turnovers / game
Texas St: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Incarnate Word form

L 10-63at TXST
2026 season

Texas St form

L 29-31at SDSUW 63-10vs UIWW 49-35vs UNTL 26-31vs UTSAL 7-59at TEX
2026 season

Incarnate Word this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)

Texas St this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Texas St leads 2–1 · Texas St won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 25.3 points toward Texas St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-26Incarnate Word 10 — 63 Texas Stat TXSTTexas St
20212021-09-18Incarnate Word 42 — 34 Texas Stat TXSTIncarnate Word
20162016-10-01Incarnate Word 17 — 48 Texas Stat TXSTTexas St

Incarnate Word leaders

No tracked players for this team.
From this site’s tracked-player feed; ESPN published no season leaders for this team.
No roster page: this site tracks the 138 FBS teams.

Texas St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBrad Jackson QB #892/138, 1226 YDS, 13 TD, 5 INT
Gavin Parkhurst QB #178/9, 114 YDS, 1 TD
RushingTorrance Burgess Jr. RB #484 CAR, 614 YDS, 1 TD
Davian Jackson RB #664 CAR, 315 YDS, 5 TD
Brad Jackson QB #851 CAR, 186 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingChris Dawn Jr. WR #124 REC, 304 YDS, 4 TD
Beau Sparks WR #1117 REC, 244 YDS, 2 TD
Kylen Evans WR #211 REC, 199 YDS
Zechariah Sample WR #37 REC, 123 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJayden Bradley DB #937
Ayden Jones LB #1530
Terrence Cooks II LB #1629
SacksTymere Jackson DL #562.5
J.P. Deeter DL #910.5
Jo'Laison Landry DL #60.5
InterceptionsRyan Nolan OL #561
Michael Patterson III DB #191
Trez Moore DB #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.