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Wk 10 · 2026

Iowa Hawkeyes at Northwestern Wildcats — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Ryan Field, Evanston, IL

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
#20 Iowa Hawkeyes
Big Ten · 5-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential IOWA by 0.2
Northwestern Wildcats
Big Ten · 4-1

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Iowa is ranked #20 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Iowa: +16.3#11
Efficiency margin
Northwestern: +13.7#20
Iowa: 37.5
Offense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 37.8
Iowa: 12.1
Defense (pts/100)
Northwestern: 15.1
Iowa: 61.7
Pace (plays/g)
Northwestern: 61.8
Iowa: 6.54
Yards / play
Northwestern: 7.08
Iowa: 4.58
Yards / play allowed
Northwestern: 5.29
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Iowa: 31.0
Points / game
Northwestern: 35.4
Iowa: 14.5
Points allowed
Northwestern: 16.2
Iowa: 403
Yards / game
Northwestern: 437
Iowa: 293
Yards allowed
Northwestern: 381
Iowa: 209
Pass yds allowed
Northwestern: 233
Iowa: 85
Rush yds allowed
Northwestern: 147
Iowa: 0.50
Turnovers / game
Northwestern: 0.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Iowa form

W 41-24at WASHL 14-31vs OSUW 20-19at MICHW 55-0vs UNIW 16-13vs ISU
2026 season

Northwestern form

W 45-14vs BALLW 34-13vs PSUL 23-29at IUW 41-7vs COLOW 34-18vs SDST
2026 season

Iowa this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

Northwestern this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under5-0 · 100% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentIowaNorthwestern
Ohio State
Big Ten
vs L 14-31 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Minnesota
Big Ten
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Illinois
Big Ten
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Iowa leads 10–9 · Iowa has won the last 4
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.9 points toward Iowa
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-10-26Northwestern 14 — 40 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20232023-11-04Iowa 10 — 7 NorthwesternneutralIowa
20222022-10-29Northwestern 13 — 33 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20212021-11-06Iowa 17 — 12 Northwesternat NUIowa
20202020-10-31Northwestern 21 — 20 Iowaat IOWANorthwestern
20192019-10-26Iowa 20 — 0 Northwesternat NUIowa
20182018-11-10Northwestern 14 — 10 Iowaat IOWANorthwestern
20172017-10-21Iowa 10 — 17 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20162016-10-01Northwestern 38 — 31 Iowaat IOWANorthwestern
20152015-10-17Iowa 40 — 10 Northwesternat NUIowa
20142014-11-01Northwestern 7 — 48 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20132013-10-26Northwestern 10 — 17 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20122012-10-27Iowa 17 — 28 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20112011-10-15Northwestern 31 — 41 Iowaat IOWAIowa
20102010-11-13Iowa 17 — 21 Northwesternat NUNorthwestern
20092009-11-07Northwestern 17 — 10 Iowaat IOWANorthwestern
20082008-09-27Northwestern 22 — 17 Iowaat IOWANorthwestern
20072007-11-03Iowa 28 — 17 Northwesternat NUIowa
20062006-11-04Northwestern 21 — 7 Iowaat IOWANorthwestern

Iowa leaders 2026 regular season

PassingHank Brown QB #978/124, 832 YDS, 5 TD, 1 INT
Jeremy Hecklinski QB #1032/51, 410 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
RushingKamari Moulton RB #2876 CAR, 519 YDS, 4 TD
Xavier Williams RB #2620 CAR, 170 YDS, 3 TD
Braeden Jackson RB #2219 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingTony Diaz WR #1428 REC, 329 YDS, 1 TD
Reece Vander Zee WR #216 REC, 247 YDS, 3 TD
DJ Vonnahme TE #8118 REC, 219 YDS, 2 TD
Addison Ostrenga TE #878 REC, 75 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesCam Buffington LB #3352
Jayden Montgomery LB #3635
Zach Lutmer DB #634
SacksJoseph Anderson DE #843
Preston Ries LB #462.5
Bryce Hawthorne DL #962.5
InterceptionsDeshaun Lee DB #82
Rashad Godfrey Jr. DB #71
Jacob Wallace DB #111
full roster and per-player history

Northwestern leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAidan Chiles QB #063/89, 900 YDS, 6 TD
RushingCaleb Komolafe RB #552 CAR, 290 YDS, 2 TD
Joseph Himon II RB #620 CAR, 277 YDS, 3 TD
Gavin Sawchuk RB #2733 CAR, 170 YDS
ReceivingGriffin Wilde WR #1716 REC, 281 YDS, 2 TD
Luke Dehnicke TE #8411 REC, 208 YDS
Alex Honig TE #867 REC, 97 YDS, 1 TD
Drew Wagner WR #1912 REC, 97 YDS
Defense
TacklesRobert Fitzgerald DB #642
Kobie McKinzie LB #232
Braydon Brus LB #3330
SacksBraydon Brus LB #333
Kobie McKinzie LB #21
Jamaal Johnson DL #241
InterceptionsOre Adeyi DB #71
Robert Fitzgerald DB #61
Braydon Brus LB #331
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.