Wk 11 · 2026
Kansas State Wildcats at TCU Horned Frogs — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Amon G. Carter Stadium, Fort Worth, TX
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big 12 · 3-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TCU by 1.1
Big 12 · 2-3
What is at stake
A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Kansas St form
L 16-35vs HOUL 26-31at CINW 31-20vs TULNW 34-7vs WSUW 71-3vs NICH
2026 season
TCU form
L 10-17vs BYUL 13-21at UCFW 31-7vs ARSTW 63-7vs GRAML 10-15vs UNC
2026 season
Kansas St this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
TCU this season
Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 2
| Opponent | Kansas St | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| Kansas Big 12 | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Arizona Big 12 | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Kansas St leads 9–5 · Kansas St has won the last 3
14 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.8 points toward Kansas St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-11 | TCU 28 — 41 Kansas St | at KSU | Kansas St |
| 2023 | 2023-10-21 | TCU 3 — 41 Kansas St | at KSU | Kansas St |
| 2022 | 2022-12-03 | Kansas St 31 — 28 TCU | neutral | Kansas St |
| 2022 | 2022-10-22 | Kansas St 28 — 38 TCU | at TCU | TCU |
| 2021 | 2021-10-30 | TCU 12 — 31 Kansas St | at KSU | Kansas St |
| 2020 | 2020-10-10 | Kansas St 21 — 14 TCU | at TCU | Kansas St |
| 2019 | 2019-10-19 | TCU 17 — 24 Kansas St | at KSU | Kansas St |
| 2018 | 2018-11-03 | Kansas St 13 — 14 TCU | at TCU | TCU |
| 2017 | 2017-10-14 | TCU 26 — 6 Kansas St | at KSU | TCU |
| 2016 | 2016-12-03 | Kansas St 30 — 6 TCU | at TCU | Kansas St |
| 2015 | 2015-10-10 | TCU 52 — 45 Kansas St | at KSU | TCU |
| 2014 | 2014-11-08 | Kansas St 20 — 41 TCU | at TCU | TCU |
| 2013 | 2013-11-16 | TCU 31 — 33 Kansas St | at KSU | Kansas St |
| 2012 | 2012-11-10 | Kansas St 23 — 10 TCU | at TCU | Kansas St |
Kansas St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Avery Johnson QB #2 | 88/133, 910 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Blake Barnett QB #3 | 4/5, 41 YDS | |
| Rushing | Avery Johnson QB #2 | 30 CAR, 291 YDS, 3 TD |
| Rodney Fields Jr. RB #20 | 49 CAR, 274 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Joe Jackson RB #4 | 37 CAR, 189 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Derrick Salley Jr. WR #15 | 11 REC, 178 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jaron Tibbs WR #12 | 16 REC, 168 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Josh Manning WR #5 | 14 REC, 149 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Garrett Oakley TE #86 | 13 REC, 147 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Gabe Powers LB #35 | 22 |
| Mekhi Mason LB #4 | 17 | |
| Logan Bartley S #10 | 17 | |
| Sacks | Wendell Gregory DE #1 | 2.5 |
| Darien Whitaker Jr. LB #6 | 2.5 | |
| Jayden Bryant DE #40 | 2 |
TCU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jaden Craig QB #1 | 108/157, 1400 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT |
| Adam Schobel QB #11 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Jeremy Payne RB #26 | 87 CAR, 432 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jon Denman RB #2 | 23 CAR, 76 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Joe Pitchford RB #24 | 11 CAR, 51 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Ed Small WR #18 | 28 REC, 403 YDS, 1 TD |
| Kari Ashley TE #81 | 25 REC, 374 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jeremy Scott WR #6 | 13 REC, 183 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jacobe Hayes WR #80 | 9 REC, 133 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Hudson Hooper LB #37 | 27 |
| Jamel Johnson S #2 | 26 | |
| Max Carroll LB #3 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Ansel Din-Mbuh DT #92 | 2 |
| John Schobel EDGE #14 | 2 | |
| Markis Deal DT #95 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Vernon Glover Jr. CB #1 | 1 |
| Teon Parks CB #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.