Wk 1 · 2026
Louisville Cardinals vs Ole Miss Rebels — Sun, Sep 6
Sun, Sep 6 ·
Nissan Stadium, Nashville, TN
· ABC FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
vs
7:30pET
MISS -6.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential MISS by 5.7
What is at stake
A neutral-site game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Liberty Mutual Music City Kickoff. Ole Miss is ranked #9 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
no home-field adjustment at a neutral site.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Louisville form
W 44-20vs FSUL 28-31at NCSUL 27-30vs WAKEW 41-31vs SMUW 59-13vs VILL
2026 season
Ole Miss form
W 52-17at VANL 28-52at FLAW 32-24vs LSUW 41-9vs CLTW 41-38vs LOU
2026 season
Louisville this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Ole Miss this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Ole Miss leads 2–0 · Ole Miss has won the last 2
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
11.0 points toward Ole Miss
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-06 | Louisville 38 — 41 Ole Miss | neutral | Ole Miss |
| 2021 | 2021-09-06 | Louisville 24 — 43 Ole Miss | neutral | Ole Miss |
Louisville leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Lincoln Kienholz QB #3 | 107/154, 1534 YDS, 9 TD, 1 INT |
| Briggs Cherry QB #10 | 2/2, 24 YDS | |
| Rushing | Isaac Brown RB #1 | 74 CAR, 557 YDS, 4 TD |
| Keyjuan Brown RB #5 | 38 CAR, 367 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Lincoln Kienholz QB #3 | 61 CAR, 198 YDS, 8 TD | |
| Receiving | Tre Richardson WR #0 | 29 REC, 445 YDS, 2 TD |
| Lawayne McCoy WR #7 | 20 REC, 420 YDS, 4 TD | |
| TreyShun Hurry WR #2 | 24 REC, 271 YDS | |
| Jaleel Skinner TE #18 | 15 REC, 259 YDS, 3 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | T.J. Capers LB #11 | 48 |
| Stanquan Clark LB #6 | 43 | |
| Kaleb Beasley DB #10 | 43 | |
| Sacks | Clev Lubin DL #50 | 4 |
| Tyler Thompson DL #3 | 2.5 | |
| Benjamin Perry LB #23 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Kaleb Beasley DB #10 | 4 |
| Stanquan Clark LB #6 | 1 |
Ole Miss leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 102/144, 1222 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Deuce Knight QB #2 | 4/8, 68 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kewan Lacy RB #5 | 39 CAR, 191 YDS, 4 TD |
| Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 28 CAR, 108 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Makhi Frazier RB #25 | 17 CAR, 80 YDS | |
| Receiving | Deuce Alexander WR #1 | 27 REC, 429 YDS, 4 TD |
| Caleb Odom TE #4 | 13 REC, 201 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Traylon Ray WR #7 | 13 REC, 188 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Horatio Fields WR #11 | 15 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Keaton Thomas LB #11 | 29 |
| Luke Ferrelli LB #12 | 27 | |
| Tah'j Butler LB #49 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Blake Purchase DE #3 | 1.5 |
| Jordan Renaud DE #1 | 1 | |
| Kam Franklin DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Cull S #29 | 1 |
| Jaylon Braxton CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.