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Wk 1 · 2026

Massachusetts Minutemen at Rutgers Scarlet Knights — Thu, Sep 3

Thu, Sep 3 · SHI Stadium, Piscataway, NJ · BTN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
6:00pET
RUTG -29.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential RUTG by 15.0
Big Ten · 1-4
21

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UMass: -16.3#128
Efficiency margin
Rutgers: -3.7#86
UMass: 21.1
Offense (pts/100)
Rutgers: 31.8
UMass: 28.4
Defense (pts/100)
Rutgers: 26.6
UMass: 55.5
Pace (plays/g)
Rutgers: 65.4
UMass: 6.11
Yards / play
Rutgers: 6.05
UMass: 4.60
Yards / play allowed
Rutgers: 6.72
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UMass: 29.7
Points / game
Rutgers: 30.0
UMass: 18.2
Points allowed
Rutgers: 32.2
UMass: 339
Yards / game
Rutgers: 396
UMass: 301
Yards allowed
Rutgers: 407
UMass: 191
Pass yds allowed
Rutgers: 208
UMass: 109
Rush yds allowed
Rutgers: 199
UMass: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Rutgers: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UMass form

L 19-20vs M-OHL 14-38vs EMUW 35-6at SACW 36-14vs STOW 37-10vs SHU
2026 season

Rutgers form

L 15-47vs IUW 58-7vs HOWL 35-42vs USCL 21-28at BCL 21-37vs MASS
2026 season

UMass this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

Rutgers this season

Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · UMass won the last one
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.5 points toward Rutgers
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-03UMass 37 — 21 Rutgersat RUTGUMass
20192019-08-30UMass 21 — 48 Rutgersat RUTGRutgers

UMass leaders 2026 regular season

PassingWilliam Watson III QB #574/100, 820 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
Aedan McCarthy QB #132/4, 11 YDS
RushingCurtis Kimmons IV RB #1445 CAR, 262 YDS, 3 TD
Elijah Faulkner RB #2352 CAR, 246 YDS
William Watson III QB #530 CAR, 167 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingT.Y. Harding WR #219 REC, 236 YDS, 2 TD
Jabari Lewis WR #1910 REC, 152 YDS
Joseph Griffin Jr. WR #18 REC, 134 YDS, 1 TD
Max Dowling TE #1111 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesTimmy Hinspeter LB #4440
Tyler Martin LB #529
Kendall Bournes S #329
SacksWilliam DePaepe DL #982
Joshua Nobles DL #21.5
Hollis Dirstine DL #951.5
InterceptionsJahmad Harmon S #223
Isaiah Reed CB #01
Timmy Hinspeter LB #441

Rutgers leaders 2026 regular season

PassingDylan Lonergan QB #1251/92, 775 YDS, 7 TD, 5 INT
AJ Surace QB #1033/53, 475 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
RushingAntwan Raymond RB #389 CAR, 469 YDS, 4 TD
Clay Thevenin RB #942 CAR, 180 YDS, 3 TD
Aiden Gibson RB #3211 CAR, 35 YDS
ReceivingKJ Duff WR #833 REC, 628 YDS, 7 TD
Ben Black III WR #29 REC, 180 YDS, 2 TD
Jourdin Houston WR #415 REC, 169 YDS
Antwan Raymond RB #39 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesChris Joines DB #2025
Bradlee Jones DB #525
Jesse Ofurie DB #1623
SacksMoses Walker LB #21.5
Rondo Porter DL #991.5
Zaire Angoy DL #551
InterceptionsMoses Walker LB #22
Bradlee Jones DB #52
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.