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Wk 2 · 2026

Memphis Tigers at Boise State Broncos — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID · USA Net FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 5-1
20
at
6:00pET
BOIS -9.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings opened -6.5 · 3 toward BOIS
Ratings differential BOIS by 9.0
Pac-12 · 5-1
38

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Boise St is ranked #23 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Memphis: +3.3#55
Efficiency margin
Boise St: +9.9#32
Memphis: 35.4
Offense (pts/100)
Boise St: 37.1
Memphis: 23.1
Defense (pts/100)
Boise St: 18.3
Memphis: 67.7
Pace (plays/g)
Boise St: 70.8
Memphis: 7.64
Yards / play
Boise St: 6.36
Memphis: 5.99
Yards / play allowed
Boise St: 6.80
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Memphis: 38.5
Points / game
Boise St: 35.0
Memphis: 20.8
Points allowed
Boise St: 22.3
Memphis: 517
Yards / game
Boise St: 450
Memphis: 380
Yards allowed
Boise St: 368
Memphis: 204
Pass yds allowed
Boise St: 261
Memphis: 177
Rush yds allowed
Boise St: 107
Memphis: 0.83
Turnovers / game
Boise St: 0.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Memphis form

W 38-13vs UABW 59-8at CLTW 45-21vs UTML 20-38at BOISW 42-24vs ARST
2026 season

Boise St form

W 38-31at FRESW 37-18vs USUW 32-7at WMUW 38-24vs SDAKW 38-20vs MEM
2026 season

Memphis this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)

Boise St this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Boise St won the last one
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.5 points toward Boise St
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12Memphis 20 — 38 Boise Stat BOISBoise St
20232023-09-30Boise St 32 — 35 Memphisat MEMMemphis

Memphis leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMarcus Stokes QB #290/123, 1371 YDS, 14 TD, 3 INT
Air Noland QB #37/9, 83 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT
RushingJaylin Carter RB #670 CAR, 513 YDS, 6 TD
Manny Covey RB #2842 CAR, 218 YDS
Dallan Hayden RB #727 CAR, 172 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingHunter Tipton TE #019 REC, 367 YDS, 5 TD
Jermane Hayes WR #1122 REC, 242 YDS, 2 TD
Tychaun Chapman WR #112 REC, 176 YDS, 1 TD
Stonka Burnside WR #58 REC, 143 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesMike Montgomery LB #928
Zach Ruffin LB #2227
Ian Foster S #025
SacksElijah Kinsler DL #153.5
J'Mond Tapp DL #142.5
Taylor Burton DL #901.5
InterceptionsDylan Smith S #32
Ahmere Foster S #51
Ian Foster S #01

Boise St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMaddux Madsen QB #487/132, 1058 YDS, 11 TD
RushingDylan Riley RB #0108 CAR, 685 YDS, 5 TD
Sire Gaines RB #2645 CAR, 234 YDS, 2 TD
Maddux Madsen QB #424 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingRasean Jones WR #1923 REC, 359 YDS, 1 TD
Matt Wagner TE #8817 REC, 196 YDS, 4 TD
Akeem Wright WR #59 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD
Ben Ford WR #828 REC, 92 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesBoen Phelps LB #129
Travis Anderson DB #424
Derek Ganter Jr. DB #918
SacksJayden Virgin-Morgan LB #52
Max Stege LB #951.5
Mikaio Edward DL #971.5
InterceptionsTravis Anderson DB #43
Jake Ripp LB #431
Roman Tillmon DB #221
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.