Wk 13 · 2026
Minnesota Golden Gophers at Wisconsin Badgers — Fri, Nov 27
Fri, Nov 27 ·
Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI
· NBC
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 4-2
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential WIS by 9.5
Big Ten · 4-1
What is at stake
Paul Bunyan's Axe. The most-played rivalry in FBS history, and the winner sprints the length of the sideline pretending to chop the goalposts down with a six-foot axe. They play for the Paul Bunyan's Axe. A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Minnesota form
L 13-41at PURW 20-14vs MICHW 27-24at WASHW 41-7vs AKRL 13-38vs MSST
2026 season
Wisconsin form
W 31-3vs MSUW 24-20at PSUW 54-10vs EMUW 36-9vs WIUL 13-41at ND
2026 season
Minnesota this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Wisconsin this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Minnesota | Wisconsin |
|---|---|---|
| Purdue Big Ten | at L 13-41 preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Iowa Big Ten | vs Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| UCLA Big Ten | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Penn State Big Ten | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at W 24-20 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Wisconsin leads 15–5 · Minnesota has won the last 2
20 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
8.6 points toward Wisconsin
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-29 | Wisconsin 7 — 17 Minnesota | at MINN | Minnesota |
| 2024 | 2024-11-29 | Minnesota 24 — 7 Wisconsin | at WIS | Minnesota |
| 2023 | 2023-11-25 | Wisconsin 28 — 14 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2022 | 2022-11-26 | Minnesota 23 — 16 Wisconsin | at WIS | Minnesota |
| 2021 | 2021-11-27 | Wisconsin 13 — 23 Minnesota | at MINN | Minnesota |
| 2020 | 2020-12-19 | Minnesota 17 — 20 Wisconsin | at WIS | Wisconsin |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | Wisconsin 38 — 17 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2018 | 2018-11-24 | Minnesota 37 — 15 Wisconsin | at WIS | Minnesota |
| 2017 | 2017-11-25 | Wisconsin 31 — 0 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2016 | 2016-11-26 | Minnesota 17 — 31 Wisconsin | at WIS | Wisconsin |
| 2015 | 2015-11-28 | Wisconsin 31 — 21 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2014 | 2014-11-29 | Minnesota 24 — 34 Wisconsin | at WIS | Wisconsin |
| 2013 | 2013-11-23 | Wisconsin 20 — 7 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2012 | 2012-10-20 | Minnesota 13 — 38 Wisconsin | at WIS | Wisconsin |
| 2011 | 2011-11-12 | Wisconsin 42 — 13 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2010 | 2010-10-09 | Minnesota 23 — 41 Wisconsin | at WIS | Wisconsin |
| 2009 | 2009-10-03 | Wisconsin 31 — 28 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2008 | 2008-11-15 | Minnesota 32 — 35 Wisconsin | at WIS | Wisconsin |
| 2007 | 2007-11-17 | Wisconsin 41 — 34 Minnesota | at MINN | Wisconsin |
| 2006 | 2006-10-14 | Minnesota 12 — 48 Wisconsin | at WIS | Wisconsin |
Minnesota leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Drake Lindsey QB #5 | 105/157, 1087 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT |
| Max Shikenjanski QB #6 | 3/3, 50 YDS | |
| Rushing | TJ Thomas RB #23 | 46 CAR, 307 YDS, 1 TD |
| Darius Taylor RB #1 | 57 CAR, 139 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Xavier Ford RB #9 | 17 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Noah Jennings WR #13 | 26 REC, 345 YDS, 1 TD |
| Javon Tracy WR #11 | 27 REC, 300 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jalen Smith WR #8 | 12 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Darius Taylor RB #1 | 11 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Maverick Baranowski LB #6 | 34 |
| Kerry Brown DB #14 | 25 | |
| Zack Harden DB #4 | 25 | |
| Sacks | TJ Bush Jr. DL #3 | 4 |
| Karter Menz DL #11 | 3 | |
| Anthony Smith DL #0 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Maverick Baranowski LB #6 | 1 |
| John Nestor DB #17 | 1 | |
| Zack Harden DB #4 | 1 |
Wisconsin leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Colton Joseph QB #1 | 81/143, 1132 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT |
| Rushing | Colton Joseph QB #1 | 51 CAR, 262 YDS, 3 TD |
| Darrion Dupree RB #6 | 43 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Abu Sama III RB #3 | 28 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Tyrell Henry WR #0 | 26 REC, 339 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jacob Harris TE #89 | 13 REC, 238 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Chris Brooks Jr. WR #2 | 11 REC, 194 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Malachi Coleman WR #4 | 5 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Cooper Catalano LB #44 | 45 |
| Mason Posa LB #8 | 40 | |
| Matthew Jung S #29 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Sebastian Cheeks LB #15 | 2.5 |
| Hammond Russell IV DL #91 | 1.5 | |
| Charles Perkins DL #30 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Charles Perkins DL #30 | 1 |
| Mason Posa LB #8 | 1 | |
| Matthew Jung S #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.