Wk 2 · 2026
Mississippi State Bulldogs at Minnesota Golden Gophers — Sat, Sep 12
Sat, Sep 12 ·
Huntington Bank Stadium, Minneapolis, MN
· CBS FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
MSST -1.5 · total 53.5 DraftKings opened -2.5 · 4 toward MSST
Ratings differential MSST by 6.5
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Mississippi St is ranked #17 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Mississippi St form
L 23-56vs ALAW 31-24vs MIZW 41-34at SCW 38-13at MINNW 62-13vs ULM
2026 season
Minnesota form
L 13-41at PURW 20-14vs MICHW 27-24at WASHW 41-7vs AKRL 13-38vs MSST
2026 season
Mississippi St this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Minnesota this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Mississippi St leads 1–0 · Mississippi St won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
25.0 points toward Mississippi St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-12 | Mississippi St 38 — 13 Minnesota | at MINN | Mississippi St |
Mississippi St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 102/154, 1450 YDS, 17 TD, 4 INT |
| Parker Puckett QB #15 | 8/14, 89 YDS | |
| Rushing | Fluff Bothwell RB #24 | 74 CAR, 403 YDS, 3 TD |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 43 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kolin Wilson RB #6 | 31 CAR, 131 YDS | |
| Receiving | Anthony Evans III WR #3 | 40 REC, 574 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sanfrisco Magee WR #13 | 16 REC, 259 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Marquis Johnson WR #2 | 13 REC, 218 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Zion Ragins WR #7 | 11 REC, 184 YDS, 4 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 31 |
| Jalen Smith LB #10 | 28 | |
| Amaree Williams EDGE #4 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Will Whitson DL #43 | 2 |
| Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 2 | |
| Jaray Bledsoe DL #9 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jalen Smith LB #10 | 1 |
| Dre Riley S #21 | 1 |
Minnesota leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Drake Lindsey QB #5 | 105/157, 1087 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT |
| Max Shikenjanski QB #6 | 3/3, 50 YDS | |
| Rushing | TJ Thomas RB #23 | 46 CAR, 307 YDS, 1 TD |
| Darius Taylor RB #1 | 57 CAR, 139 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Xavier Ford RB #9 | 17 CAR, 82 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Noah Jennings WR #13 | 26 REC, 345 YDS, 1 TD |
| Javon Tracy WR #11 | 27 REC, 300 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jalen Smith WR #8 | 12 REC, 121 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Darius Taylor RB #1 | 11 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Maverick Baranowski LB #6 | 34 |
| Kerry Brown DB #14 | 25 | |
| Zack Harden DB #4 | 25 | |
| Sacks | TJ Bush Jr. DL #3 | 4 |
| Karter Menz DL #11 | 3 | |
| Anthony Smith DL #0 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Maverick Baranowski LB #6 | 1 |
| John Nestor DB #17 | 1 | |
| Zack Harden DB #4 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.