Wk 2 · 2026
Ohio State Buckeyes at Texas Longhorns — Sat, Sep 12
Sat, Sep 12 ·
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
· ABC FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:30pET
TEX -2.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 1 toward TEX
Ratings differential OSU by 2.6
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Ohio State is ranked #5 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Ohio State form
W 45-16vs MDW 31-14at IOWAW 42-19vs ILLW 59-3vs KENTL 23-24at TEX
2026 season
Texas form
L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season
Ohio State this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Texas this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Ohio State leads 3–2 · Texas won the last one
5 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
6.8 points toward Ohio State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-12 | Ohio State 23 — 24 Texas | at TEX | Texas |
| 2025 | 2025-08-30 | Texas 7 — 14 Ohio State | at OSU | Ohio State |
| 2024 | 2025-01-10 | Ohio State 28 — 14 Texas | neutral | Ohio State bowl/CFP |
| 2008 | 2009-01-05 | Ohio State 21 — 24 Texas | neutral | Texas bowl/CFP |
| 2006 | 2006-09-09 | Ohio State 24 — 7 Texas | at TEX | Ohio State |
Ohio State leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Julian Sayin QB #10 | 103/142, 1530 YDS, 13 TD, 1 INT |
| Luke Fahey QB #13 | 9/11, 203 YDS, 2 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Bo Jackson RB #25 | 66 CAR, 353 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ja'Kobi Jackson RB #24 | 45 CAR, 278 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Isaiah West RB #32 | 22 CAR, 80 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Jeremiah Smith WR #4 | 44 REC, 823 YDS, 9 TD |
| Devin McCuin WR #3 | 17 REC, 245 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Brandon Inniss WR #1 | 10 REC, 147 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Brock Boyd WR #11 | 6 REC, 110 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Earl Little Jr. S #1 | 26 |
| Payton Pierce LB #26 | 26 | |
| Jaylen McClain S #8 | 20 | |
| Sacks | Kenyatta Jackson Jr. DE #2 | 3 |
| Riley Pettijohn LB #5 | 2 | |
| Qua Russaw DE #4 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Jaylen McClain S #8 | 2 |
| Tarvos Alford LB #17 | 1 | |
| Riley Pettijohn LB #5 | 1 |
Texas leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Arch Manning QB #16 | 73/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT |
| Karle Lacey Jr. QB #9 | 7/8, 63 YDS | |
| Rushing | Hollywood Smothers RB #2 | 41 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD |
| Raleek Brown RB #0 | 48 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Arch Manning QB #16 | 32 CAR, 82 YDS | |
| Receiving | Ryan Wingo WR #1 | 19 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD |
| Cam Coleman WR #8 | 12 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Emmett Mosley V WR #3 | 12 REC, 173 YDS | |
| Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #4 | 6 REC, 81 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 29 |
| Jelani McDonald DB #4 | 26 | |
| Justin Cryer LB #28 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Colin Simmons EDGE #1 | 7.5 |
| Maraad Watson DL #88 | 2 | |
| Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 2 |
| Graceson Littleton DB #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.