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Wk 4 · 2026

Rice Owls at Fresno State Bulldogs — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · Valley Children's Stadium, Fresno, CA · CW FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 1-5
24
at
10:00pET
FRES -12.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings opened -13.5 · 1 toward RICE
Ratings differential FRES by 15.2
Pac-12 · 4-2
38

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Rice: -12.6#112
Efficiency margin
Fresno St: +0.2#70
Rice: 23.0
Offense (pts/100)
Fresno St: 30.4
Rice: 26.6
Defense (pts/100)
Fresno St: 21.2
Rice: 62.7
Pace (plays/g)
Fresno St: 60.3
Rice: 5.00
Yards / play
Fresno St: 6.03
Rice: 5.50
Yards / play allowed
Fresno St: 5.72
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Rice: 17.0
Points / game
Fresno St: 28.3
Rice: 27.5
Points allowed
Fresno St: 20.0
Rice: 313
Yards / game
Fresno St: 364
Rice: 368
Yards allowed
Fresno St: 384
Rice: 179
Pass yds allowed
Fresno St: 219
Rice: 189
Rush yds allowed
Fresno St: 165
Rice: 1.50
Turnovers / game
Fresno St: 0.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Rice form

L 12-28at ECUL 14-16vs UTSAL 24-38at FRESL 21-28vs WMUL 0-52at ND
2026 season

Fresno St form

L 31-38vs BOISW 26-6at WSUW 38-24vs RICEW 26-10at SJSUW 49-3vs SAC
2026 season

Rice this season

Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

Fresno St this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Fresno St won the last one
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.0 points toward Rice
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-26Rice 24 — 38 Fresno Stat FRESFresno St
20142014-12-24Fresno St 6 — 30 RiceneutralRice bowl/CFP

Rice leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJacurri Brown QB #1136/67, 410 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Gael Ochoa QB #42/5, 17 YDS
RushingJacurri Brown QB #1188 CAR, 495 YDS, 4 TD
Tyvonn Byars RB #2652 CAR, 208 YDS, 1 TD
DAndre Hardeman Jr. RB #2852 CAR, 200 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingBarry Jackson Jr. WR #77 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
Jordan Clark WR #1911 REC, 102 YDS
Ben Grice WR #66 REC, 64 YDS
Max Mosey WR #132 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesAJ Brown DE #736
Austin Harnetiaux LB #5432
Stone Combs LB #3328
SacksChibby Nwajuaku DL #162
Matthew Aribisala DL #151
Aquantis Clemmons DL #571
InterceptionsDaveon Hook S #01
Jerrick Harper CB #51

Fresno St leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJayden Mandal QB #791/137, 1034 YDS, 6 TD, 1 INT
Jordan Malau'ulu WR #101/1, 21 YDS
RushingRayshon Luke RB #242 CAR, 286 YDS, 1 TD
Bryson Donelson RB #648 CAR, 206 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Mandal QB #735 CAR, 109 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJosiah Freeman WR #525 REC, 322 YDS, 2 TD
Ezekiel Avit WR #013 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD
Jahlil McClain WR #112 REC, 135 YDS, 1 TD
Rayshon Luke RB #212 REC, 72 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesK'vion Thunderbird LB #1039
Simeon Harris DB #525
Gerayas Grimes DB #2724
SacksDylan Hampsten DL #113
Tytus Khajavi LB #352
Deijon Laffitte DL #01.5
InterceptionsSimeon Harris DB #53
Ethan Tierney DB #42
Justin Johnson LB #251
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.