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Wk 4 · 2026

South Alabama Jaguars at Kentucky Wildcats — Sat, Sep 26

Sat, Sep 26 · Kroger Field, Lexington, KY · SEC Network FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 4-2
21
at
12:45pET
UK -21 · total 54.5 DraftKings opened -19.5 · 1.5 toward UK
Ratings differential UK by 18.9
SEC · 5-1
45

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

South Alabama: -5.9#90
Efficiency margin
Kentucky: +10.6#29
South Alabama: 32.2
Offense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 36.8
South Alabama: 29.1
Defense (pts/100)
Kentucky: 17.2
South Alabama: 71.2
Pace (plays/g)
Kentucky: 65.5
South Alabama: 6.15
Yards / play
Kentucky: 6.32
South Alabama: 7.27
Yards / play allowed
Kentucky: 5.31
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

South Alabama: 38.8
Points / game
Kentucky: 34.7
South Alabama: 34.5
Points allowed
Kentucky: 28.0
South Alabama: 438
Yards / game
Kentucky: 414
South Alabama: 429
Yards allowed
Kentucky: 382
South Alabama: 265
Pass yds allowed
Kentucky: 246
South Alabama: 164
Rush yds allowed
Kentucky: 136
South Alabama: 0.50
Turnovers / game
Kentucky: 0.83
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

South Alabama form

W 56-49at ARSTW 52-35vs ULML 21-45at UKW 41-36vs OHIOL 24-28at TULN
2026 season

Kentucky form

W 35-34vs LSUW 35-34at SCW 45-21vs USAW 31-21at TA&ML 17-45vs ALA
2026 season

South Alabama this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Kentucky this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Kentucky leads 1–0 · Kentucky won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 24.0 points toward Kentucky
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-26South Alabama 21 — 45 Kentuckyat UKKentucky

South Alabama leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJared Hollins QB #756/92, 855 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
Bishop Davenport QB #440/59, 450 YDS, 3 TD
RushingKeenan Phillips RB #380 CAR, 444 YDS, 5 TD
PJ Martin RB #092 CAR, 423 YDS, 6 TD
Trae'von Dunbar RB #2145 CAR, 248 YDS, 4 TD
ReceivingBrendan Jenkins WR #1221 REC, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Anthony Eager WR #111 REC, 305 YDS, 4 TD
Jeremiah Jones-Thomas WR #222 REC, 261 YDS, 1 TD
Micah Woods WR #68 REC, 127 YDS
Defense
TacklesCole Blaylock S #1442
Jordan Williams LB #4833
Dallas Young S #831
SacksStephen Johnson DL #561.5
Damyrion Darby CB #241.5
Masey Lewis DL #181
InterceptionsDamyrion Darby CB #243
D.J. Moore S #11
Jaylen Moson CB #121

Kentucky leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKenny Minchey QB #397/142, 1148 YDS, 11 TD, 1 INT
Callum Wither QB #100/1, 0 YDS
RushingCJ Baxter RB #168 CAR, 361 YDS, 6 TD
Jason Patterson RB #2645 CAR, 355 YDS, 3 TD
Jovantae Barnes RB #220 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKenny Darby WR #1925 REC, 322 YDS, 3 TD
Willie Rodriguez TE #8122 REC, 194 YDS, 1 TD
Nic Anderson WR #49 REC, 120 YDS, 1 TD
Henry Boyer TE #878 REC, 116 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesGrant Godfrey LB #2243
Jordan Castell DB #542
Ty Bryant DB #1439
SacksMi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #902.5
Grant Godfrey LB #222
Tavion Gadson DL #941.5
InterceptionsJordan Castell DB #52
Grant Godfrey LB #221
Mi'Quise Humphrey-Grace DL #901
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.