Wk 4 · 2026
Troy Trojans at Utah State Aggies — Sat, Sep 26
Sat, Sep 26 ·
Maverik Stadium, Logan, UT
· CBSSN FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:30pET
USU -3 · total 47.5 DraftKings opened -2.5 · 0.5 toward USU
Ratings differential USU by 1.2
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Troy form
W 55-34vs USML 10-21at USUL 17-27at MIZW 34-17vs ALSTW 24-21vs SHSU
2026 season
Utah State form
W 17-16vs WSUL 18-37at BOISW 21-10vs TROYL 0-33at UTAHL 14-16at WASH
2026 season
Troy this season
Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Utah State this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Utah State leads 1–0 · Utah State won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
11.0 points toward Utah State
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-26 | Troy 10 — 21 Utah State | at USU | Utah State |
Troy leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Goose Crowder QB #9 | 87/153, 1047 YDS, 9 TD, 4 INT |
| Evan Crenshaw P #28 | 0/1, 0 YDS | |
| Rushing | Gavin Griffin RB #0 | 69 CAR, 337 YDS, 1 TD |
| Jaheim Merriweather RB #3 | 50 CAR, 281 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Jordan Lovett RB #1 | 44 CAR, 254 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | TK Keyes WR #8 | 12 REC, 270 YDS, 3 TD |
| Noreel White WR #4 | 11 REC, 159 YDS | |
| Howard Kinchen WR #18 | 13 REC, 147 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jace Petty WR #17 | 12 REC, 105 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Keno Jones LB #42 | 35 |
| Justin Powe S #6 | 30 | |
| TJ Thompson LB #4 | 25 | |
| Sacks | Donnie Smith DB #22 | 5 |
| Keno Jones LB #42 | 1.5 | |
| Ty Clemons DT #11 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Kavion Henderson DE #25 | 1 |
| TJ Thompson LB #4 | 1 | |
| Jabari Strait CB #1 | 1 |
Utah State leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Grady Brosterhous QB #9 | 78/142, 914 YDS, 7 TD, 6 INT |
| McCae Hillstead QB #3 | 17/37, 225 YDS, 2 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Javen Jacobs RB #8 | 70 CAR, 393 YDS, 2 TD |
| Grady Brosterhous QB #9 | 86 CAR, 243 YDS | |
| McCae Hillstead QB #3 | 15 CAR, 53 YDS | |
| Receiving | Eli Wood WR #7 | 36 REC, 472 YDS, 5 TD |
| Javon Robinson WR #5 | 13 REC, 212 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Demick Starling WR #6 | 9 REC, 125 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Nikko Boncore WR #4 | 6 REC, 98 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Brevin Hamblin S #4 | 51 |
| Asher Cunningham LB #11 | 49 | |
| Chapman Lewis S #21 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Jordan Pendleton LB #17 | 2.5 |
| James Jennette LB #18 | 2 | |
| Asher Cunningham LB #11 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Brevin Hamblin S #4 | 1 |
| David Kabongo S #8 | 1 | |
| D'Angelo Mayes CB #15 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.