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Wk 2 · 2026

UC Davis Aggies at SMU Mustangs — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX · ACCNX FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
UC Davis Aggies
FCS / Other · 0-1
10
at
4:00pET
SMU -32.5 · total 58.5 DraftKings opened -24.5 · 8 toward SMU
No ratings differential: UC Davis is not in the ratings file.
ACC · 4-1
56

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. SMU is ranked #24 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UC Davis: no data
Efficiency margin
SMU: +4.3#49
UC Davis: no data
Offense (pts/100)
SMU: 33.6
UC Davis: no data
Defense (pts/100)
SMU: 20.3
UC Davis: no data
Pace (plays/g)
SMU: 68.8
UC Davis: no data
Yards / play
SMU: 6.97
UC Davis: no data
Yards / play allowed
SMU: 4.95
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UC Davis: 10.0
Points / game
SMU: 34.6
UC Davis: 56.0
Points allowed
SMU: 23.0
UC Davis: 233
Yards / game
SMU: 479
UC Davis: no data
Yards allowed
SMU: 312
UC Davis: no data
Pass yds allowed
SMU: 170
UC Davis: no data
Rush yds allowed
SMU: 142
UC Davis: 2.00
Turnovers / game
SMU: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UC Davis form

L 10-56at SMU
2026 season

SMU form

W 25-16vs BCW 34-24vs MOSTL 31-41at LOUW 56-10vs UCDW 27-24at FSU
2026 season

UC Davis this season

Straight up0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Against the spread0-1 · 0% (1 games)
Over / under1-0 · 100% (1 games)

SMU this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, SMU leads 1–0 · SMU won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 46.0 points toward SMU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12UC Davis 10 — 56 SMUat SMUSMU

UC Davis leaders

No tracked players for this team.
From this site’s tracked-player feed; ESPN published no season leaders for this team.
No roster page: this site tracks the 138 FBS teams.

SMU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKevin Jennings QB #7117/156, 1588 YDS, 14 TD, 5 INT
Ty Hawkins QB #111/13, 104 YDS, 2 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael RB #677 CAR, 418 YDS, 6 TD
Dramekco Green RB #436 CAR, 111 YDS
Kevin Jennings QB #732 CAR, 69 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingYamir Knight WR #829 REC, 367 YDS, 2 TD
Jalen Cooper WR #1019 REC, 290 YDS, 1 TD
Yannick Smith WR #314 REC, 231 YDS, 2 TD
Randy Pittman TE #516 REC, 153 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesTyren Polley Jr. S #1030
Alexander Kilgore LB #2325
Jimmy Wyrick S #2122
SacksMarques White DE #164.5
Aakil Washington DE #582
Jimmy Wyrick S #212
InterceptionsJarvis Lee S #11
Brandon Booker LB #281
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.