Wk 8 · 2026

USC Trojans at Wisconsin Badgers — Sat, Oct 24

Sat, Oct 24 · Camp Randall Stadium, Madison, WI

Weather

55° / 36° overcast

16% chance of precipitation

Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.

Forecast from Open-Meteo

#19 USC Trojans

Big Ten · 6-1

TBDET

no line posted yet

Ratings differential WIS by 0.3

Wisconsin Badgers

Big Ten · 4-1

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. USC is ranked #19 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

USC: +12.0#24

Efficiency margin

Wisconsin: +9.9#31

USC: 38.9

Offense (pts/100)

Wisconsin: 32.7

USC: 17.9

Defense (pts/100)

Wisconsin: 13.8

USC: 69.3

Pace (plays/g)

Wisconsin: 61.0

USC: 6.67

Yards / play

Wisconsin: 6.22

USC: 5.95

Yards / play allowed

Wisconsin: 4.09

Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

USC: 36.4

Points / game

Wisconsin: 31.6

USC: 25.1

Points allowed

Wisconsin: 16.6

USC: 462

Yards / game

Wisconsin: 379

USC: 350

Yards allowed

Wisconsin: 267

USC: 239

Pass yds allowed

Wisconsin: 153

USC: 111

Rush yds allowed

Wisconsin: 115

USC: 0.86

Turnovers / game

Wisconsin: 1.20

From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

USC form

W 31-23at PSUW 25-21vs WASHL 27-41vs OREW 42-35at RUTGW 49-30vs UL

2026 season

Wisconsin form

W 31-3vs MSUW 24-20at PSUW 54-10vs EMUW 36-9vs WIUL 13-41at ND

2026 season

USC this season

Straight up6-1 · 86% (7 games)

Against the spread2-5 · 29% (7 games)

Over / under4-3 · 57% (7 games)

Wisconsin this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)

Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

Opponent	USC	Wisconsin
Rutgers Big Ten	at W 42-35 preview	vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Penn State Big Ten	at W 31-23 preview	at W 24-20 preview
Maryland Big Ten	vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview	at Wk 11 · scheduled preview
UCLA Big Ten	at Wk 13 · scheduled preview	at Wk 7 · scheduled preview

Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · USC won the last one

2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 7.5 points toward USC

Yr	Date	Result	Site	Won
2024	2024-09-28	Wisconsin 21 — 38 USC	at USC	USC
2015	2015-12-30	USC 21 — 23 Wisconsin	neutral	Wisconsin bowl/CFP

USC leaders 2026 regular season

Passing	Jayden Maiava QB #14	131/191, 1744 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT
	Jonas Williams QB #15	12/14, 126 YDS, 1 INT
Rushing	King Miller RB #8	95 CAR, 493 YDS, 3 TD
	Waymond Jordan RB #2	57 CAR, 265 YDS, 2 TD
	Shahn Alston RB #22	17 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving	Kayden Dixon-Wyatt WR #17	25 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD
	Zacharyus Williams WR #0	14 REC, 258 YDS, 1 TD
	Trent Mosley WR #4	13 REC, 255 YDS, 4 TD
	Mark Bowman TE #19	21 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD

Defense

Tackles	Christian Pierce S #6	35
	Deven Bryant LB #17	33
	Luke Wafle DE #94	22
Sacks	Kennedy Urlacher S #9	2
	Alex Graham CB #7	2
	Jadyn Ramos DE #95	2
Interceptions	Prophet Brown CB #16	2
	Christian Pierce S #6	1

full roster and per-player history

Wisconsin leaders 2026 regular season

Passing	Colton Joseph QB #1	81/143, 1132 YDS, 10 TD, 5 INT
Rushing	Colton Joseph QB #1	51 CAR, 262 YDS, 3 TD
	Darrion Dupree RB #6	43 CAR, 195 YDS, 2 TD
	Abu Sama III RB #3	28 CAR, 190 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving	Tyrell Henry WR #0	26 REC, 339 YDS, 1 TD
	Jacob Harris TE #89	13 REC, 238 YDS, 3 TD
	Chris Brooks Jr. WR #2	11 REC, 194 YDS, 2 TD
	Malachi Coleman WR #4	5 REC, 122 YDS, 2 TD

Defense

Tackles	Cooper Catalano LB #44	45
	Mason Posa LB #8	40
	Matthew Jung S #29	32
Sacks	Sebastian Cheeks LB #15	2.5
	Hammond Russell IV DL #91	1.5
	Charles Perkins DL #30	1
Interceptions	Charles Perkins DL #30	1
	Mason Posa LB #8	1
	Matthew Jung S #29	1

full roster and per-player history

These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.