Wk 5 · 2026
Utah State Aggies at Boise State Broncos — Sat, Oct 3
Sat, Oct 3 ·
Albertsons Stadium, Boise, ID
· CBSSN FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:30pET
BOIS -19.5 · total 51.5 DraftKings opened -20.5 · 1 toward USU
Ratings differential BOIS by 19.5
What is at stake
A Pac-12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Boise St is ranked #23 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Utah State form
W 17-16vs WSUL 18-37at BOISW 21-10vs TROYL 0-33at UTAHL 14-16at WASH
2026 season
Boise St form
W 38-31at FRESW 37-18vs USUW 32-7at WMUW 38-24vs SDAKW 38-20vs MEM
2026 season
Utah State this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Boise St this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Utah State | Boise St |
|---|---|---|
| Washington St Pac-12 | vs W 17-16 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Texas St Pac-12 | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Colorado St Pac-12 | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Fresno St Pac-12 | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | at W 38-31 preview |
| San Diego St Pac-12 | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Oregon St Pac-12 | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Boise St leads 18–1 · Boise St has won the last 11
19 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
23.7 points toward Boise St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-10-03 | Utah State 18 — 37 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2025 | 2025-11-28 | Boise St 25 — 24 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2024 | 2024-10-05 | Utah State 30 — 62 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2023 | 2023-11-18 | Boise St 45 — 10 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2022 | 2022-11-25 | Utah State 23 — 42 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2021 | 2021-09-25 | Boise St 27 — 3 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2020 | 2020-10-24 | Utah State 13 — 42 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2019 | 2019-11-23 | Boise St 56 — 21 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2018 | 2018-11-24 | Utah State 24 — 33 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2017 | 2017-10-28 | Boise St 41 — 14 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2016 | 2016-10-01 | Utah State 10 — 21 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2015 | 2015-10-16 | Boise St 26 — 52 Utah State | at USU | Utah State |
| 2014 | 2014-11-29 | Utah State 19 — 50 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2013 | 2013-10-12 | Boise St 34 — 23 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2010 | 2010-12-04 | Utah State 14 — 50 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2009 | 2009-11-20 | Boise St 52 — 21 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2008 | 2008-11-08 | Utah State 14 — 49 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
| 2007 | 2007-11-10 | Boise St 52 — 0 Utah State | at USU | Boise St |
| 2006 | 2006-11-18 | Utah State 10 — 49 Boise St | at BOIS | Boise St |
Utah State leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Grady Brosterhous QB #9 | 78/142, 914 YDS, 7 TD, 6 INT |
| McCae Hillstead QB #3 | 17/37, 225 YDS, 2 TD, 4 INT | |
| Rushing | Javen Jacobs RB #8 | 70 CAR, 393 YDS, 2 TD |
| Grady Brosterhous QB #9 | 86 CAR, 243 YDS | |
| McCae Hillstead QB #3 | 15 CAR, 53 YDS | |
| Receiving | Eli Wood WR #7 | 36 REC, 472 YDS, 5 TD |
| Javon Robinson WR #5 | 13 REC, 212 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Demick Starling WR #6 | 9 REC, 125 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Nikko Boncore WR #4 | 6 REC, 98 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Brevin Hamblin S #4 | 51 |
| Asher Cunningham LB #11 | 49 | |
| Chapman Lewis S #21 | 32 | |
| Sacks | Jordan Pendleton LB #17 | 2.5 |
| James Jennette LB #18 | 2 | |
| Asher Cunningham LB #11 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Brevin Hamblin S #4 | 1 |
| David Kabongo S #8 | 1 | |
| D'Angelo Mayes CB #15 | 1 |
Boise St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Maddux Madsen QB #4 | 87/132, 1058 YDS, 11 TD |
| Rushing | Dylan Riley RB #0 | 108 CAR, 685 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sire Gaines RB #26 | 45 CAR, 234 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Maddux Madsen QB #4 | 24 CAR, 105 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Rasean Jones WR #19 | 23 REC, 359 YDS, 1 TD |
| Matt Wagner TE #88 | 17 REC, 196 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Akeem Wright WR #5 | 9 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Ben Ford WR #82 | 8 REC, 92 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Boen Phelps LB #1 | 29 |
| Travis Anderson DB #4 | 24 | |
| Derek Ganter Jr. DB #9 | 18 | |
| Sacks | Jayden Virgin-Morgan LB #5 | 2 |
| Max Stege LB #95 | 1.5 | |
| Mikaio Edward DL #97 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Travis Anderson DB #4 | 3 |
| Jake Ripp LB #43 | 1 | |
| Roman Tillmon DB #22 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.