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Wk 3 · 2026

UTSA Roadrunners at Texas Longhorns — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX · SECN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 5-1
6
at
8:00pET
TEX -29.5 · total 58.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TEX by 23.8
SEC · 4-1
30

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UTSA: +0.3#69
Efficiency margin
Texas: +21.7#7
UTSA: 32.6
Offense (pts/100)
Texas: 39.5
UTSA: 23.3
Defense (pts/100)
Texas: 8.7
UTSA: 66.3
Pace (plays/g)
Texas: 69.8
UTSA: 6.05
Yards / play
Texas: 5.43
UTSA: 5.24
Yards / play allowed
Texas: 4.22
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UTSA: 31.3
Points / game
Texas: 31.4
UTSA: 25.8
Points allowed
Texas: 16.0
UTSA: 402
Yards / game
Texas: 379
UTSA: 387
Yards allowed
Texas: 264
UTSA: 202
Pass yds allowed
Texas: 168
UTSA: 185
Rush yds allowed
Texas: 96
UTSA: 0.50
Turnovers / game
Texas: 1.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UTSA form

W 31-24vs USFW 16-14at RICEW 59-45vs CSUL 6-30at TEXW 31-26at TXST
2026 season

Texas form

L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season

UTSA this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Texas this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentUTSATexas
Texas St
Pac-12
at W 31-26 previewvs W 59-7 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Texas leads 3–0 · Texas has won the last 3
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 31.3 points toward Texas
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-19UTSA 6 — 30 Texasat TEXTexas
20242024-09-14UTSA 7 — 56 Texasat TEXTexas
20222022-09-17UTSA 20 — 41 Texasat TEXTexas

UTSA leaders 2026 regular season

PassingOwen McCown QB #13125/182, 1219 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
David Amador II WR #181/2, 44 YDS, 1 TD
RushingWill Henderson III RB #1178 CAR, 484 YDS, 3 TD
A'Marion Peterson RB #2839 CAR, 286 YDS, 7 TD
Brandon High Jr. RB #1048 CAR, 231 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDJ Allen Jr. WR #1518 REC, 269 YDS, 2 TD
AJ Wilson WR #8418 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD
Mekhi Anderson WR #1423 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD
David Amador II WR #1828 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBrandon Tucker LB #2346
Darion White LB #4436
Owen Pewee LB #233
SacksOwen Pewee LB #21
Camron Cooper LB #11
James Walley Jr. LB #341
InterceptionsZach Morris CB #201
Joel Rogers S #141
Nate Robinson Jr. S #251

Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingArch Manning QB #1673/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
Karle Lacey Jr. QB #97/8, 63 YDS
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #241 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD
Raleek Brown RB #048 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD
Arch Manning QB #1632 CAR, 82 YDS
ReceivingRyan Wingo WR #119 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD
Cam Coleman WR #812 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD
Emmett Mosley V WR #312 REC, 173 YDS
Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #46 REC, 81 YDS
Defense
TacklesRasheem Biles LB #329
Jelani McDonald DB #426
Justin Cryer LB #2823
SacksColin Simmons EDGE #17.5
Maraad Watson DL #882
Rasheem Biles LB #31
InterceptionsRasheem Biles LB #32
Graceson Littleton DB #291
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.