Wk 5 · 2026

Washington Huskies at USC Trojans — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Los Angeles Memorial Coliseum, Los Angeles, CA · NBC FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.

Washington Huskies

Big Ten · 3-3

7:30pET

USC -7.5 · total 58.5 DraftKings opened -10 · 2.5 toward WASH

Ratings differential USC by 10.3

#18 USC Trojans

Big Ten · 6-1

What is at stake

A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. USC is ranked #19 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Washington: +4.1#52

Efficiency margin

USC: +12.0#24

Washington: 32.3

Offense (pts/100)

USC: 38.9

Washington: 19.2

Defense (pts/100)

USC: 17.9

Washington: 65.2

Pace (plays/g)

USC: 69.3

Washington: 5.68

Yards / play

USC: 6.67

Washington: 5.26

Yards / play allowed

USC: 5.95

Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Washington: 26.2

Points / game

USC: 36.4

Washington: 22.2

Points allowed

USC: 25.1

Washington: 370

Yards / game

USC: 462

Washington: 330

Yards allowed

USC: 350

Washington: 194

Pass yds allowed

USC: 239

Washington: 137

Rush yds allowed

USC: 111

Washington: 0.67

Turnovers / game

USC: 0.86

From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Washington form

L 24-41vs IOWAL 21-25at USCL 24-27vs MINNW 48-16vs EWUW 16-14vs USU

2026 season

USC form

W 31-23at PSUW 25-21vs WASHL 27-41vs OREW 42-35at RUTGW 49-30vs UL

2026 season

Washington this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)

Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

USC this season

Straight up6-1 · 86% (7 games)

Against the spread2-5 · 29% (7 games)

Over / under4-3 · 57% (7 games)

Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

Opponent	Washington	USC
Penn State Big Ten	vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview	at W 31-23 preview
Indiana Big Ten	vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview	at Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Oregon Big Ten	at Wk 13 · scheduled preview	vs L 27-41 preview

Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, USC leads 7–6 · USC won the last one

13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 5.9 points toward USC

Yr	Date	Result	Site	Won
2026	2026-10-03	Washington 21 — 25 USC	at USC	USC
2024	2024-11-02	USC 21 — 26 Washington	at WASH	Washington
2023	2023-11-04	Washington 52 — 42 USC	at USC	Washington
2019	2019-09-28	USC 14 — 28 Washington	at WASH	Washington
2016	2016-11-12	USC 26 — 13 Washington	at WASH	USC
2015	2015-10-08	Washington 17 — 12 USC	at USC	Washington
2012	2012-10-13	USC 24 — 14 Washington	at WASH	USC
2011	2011-11-12	Washington 17 — 40 USC	at USC	USC
2010	2010-10-02	Washington 32 — 31 USC	at USC	Washington
2009	2009-09-19	USC 13 — 16 Washington	at WASH	Washington
2008	2008-11-01	Washington 0 — 56 USC	at USC	USC
2007	2007-09-29	USC 27 — 24 Washington	at WASH	USC
2006	2006-10-07	Washington 20 — 26 USC	at USC	USC

Washington leaders 2026 regular season

Passing	Demond Williams Jr. QB #1	116/174, 1396 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT
	Elijah Brown QB #7	30/42, 276 YDS, 4 TD
Rushing	Brian Bonner Jr. RB #34	51 CAR, 232 YDS
	Demond Williams Jr. QB #1	64 CAR, 183 YDS, 2 TD
	Trey Cooley RB #22	25 CAR, 52 YDS
Receiving	Dezmen Roebuck WR #2	43 REC, 387 YDS, 2 TD
	Chris Lawson WR #8	26 REC, 380 YDS, 2 TD
	Baron Naone TE #85	17 REC, 251 YDS, 2 TD
	Rashid Williams WR #3	16 REC, 250 YDS, 3 TD

Defense

Tackles	Alex McLaughlin S #7	44
	Jacob Manu LB #9	35
	Dylan Robinson CB #6	27
Sacks	Jacob Manu LB #9	2.5
	Alex McLaughlin S #7	2.5
	Russell Davis II EDGE #99	1
Interceptions	Alex McLaughlin S #7	2
	Taariq Al-Uqdah LB #0	1
	Rahshawn Clark CB #2	1

full roster and per-player history

USC leaders 2026 regular season

Passing	Jayden Maiava QB #14	131/191, 1744 YDS, 15 TD, 3 INT
	Jonas Williams QB #15	12/14, 126 YDS, 1 INT
Rushing	King Miller RB #8	95 CAR, 493 YDS, 3 TD
	Waymond Jordan RB #2	57 CAR, 265 YDS, 2 TD
	Shahn Alston RB #22	17 CAR, 92 YDS, 1 TD
Receiving	Kayden Dixon-Wyatt WR #17	25 REC, 372 YDS, 3 TD
	Zacharyus Williams WR #0	14 REC, 258 YDS, 1 TD
	Trent Mosley WR #4	13 REC, 255 YDS, 4 TD
	Mark Bowman TE #19	21 REC, 204 YDS, 2 TD

Defense

Tackles	Christian Pierce S #6	35
	Deven Bryant LB #17	33
	Luke Wafle DE #94	22
Sacks	Kennedy Urlacher S #9	2
	Alex Graham CB #7	2
	Jadyn Ramos DE #95	2
Interceptions	Prophet Brown CB #16	2
	Christian Pierce S #6	1

full roster and per-player history

These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.