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Wk 5 · 2026

West Virginia Mountaineers at Iowa State Cyclones — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Jack Trice Stadium, Ames, IA · TNT FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
ISU -3 · total 53.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 1.5 toward ISU
Ratings differential ISU by 11.0
Big 12 · 3-3
45

What is at stake

A Big 12 game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

West Virginia: -2.7#79
Efficiency margin
Iowa State: +5.9#43
West Virginia: 34.1
Offense (pts/100)
Iowa State: 33.0
West Virginia: 27.9
Defense (pts/100)
Iowa State: 18.1
West Virginia: 76.8
Pace (plays/g)
Iowa State: 61.7
West Virginia: 6.25
Yards / play
Iowa State: 5.83
West Virginia: 6.93
Yards / play allowed
Iowa State: 5.84
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

West Virginia: 36.3
Points / game
Iowa State: 29.7
West Virginia: 32.7
Points allowed
Iowa State: 21.7
West Virginia: 480
Yards / game
Iowa State: 360
West Virginia: 461
Yards allowed
Iowa State: 352
West Virginia: 297
Pass yds allowed
Iowa State: 198
West Virginia: 164
Rush yds allowed
Iowa State: 154
West Virginia: 1.17
Turnovers / game
Iowa State: 0.83
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

West Virginia form

L 31-52vs ARIZL 42-45at ISUL 24-41vs OKSTW 38-27at UVAW 52-7vs UTM
2026 season

Iowa State form

L 10-24at BYUW 45-42vs WVUL 17-31vs UTAHW 55-7vs BGSUL 13-16at IOWA
2026 season

West Virginia this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under6-0 · 100% (6 games)

Iowa State this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentWest VirginiaIowa State
Oklahoma St
Big 12
vs L 24-41 previewvs Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Arizona
Big 12
vs L 31-52 previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Cincinnati
Big 12
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Utah
Big 12
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs L 17-31 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Iowa State leads 7–6 · Iowa State has won the last 3
13 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.4 points toward Iowa State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03West Virginia 42 — 45 Iowa Stateat ISUIowa State
20242024-10-12Iowa State 28 — 16 West Virginiaat WVUIowa State
20222022-11-05West Virginia 14 — 31 Iowa Stateat ISUIowa State
20212021-10-30Iowa State 31 — 38 West Virginiaat WVUWest Virginia
20202020-12-05West Virginia 6 — 42 Iowa Stateat ISUIowa State
20192019-10-12Iowa State 38 — 14 West Virginiaat WVUIowa State
20182018-10-13West Virginia 14 — 30 Iowa Stateat ISUIowa State
20172017-11-04Iowa State 16 — 20 West Virginiaat WVUWest Virginia
20162016-11-26West Virginia 49 — 19 Iowa Stateat ISUWest Virginia
20152015-11-28Iowa State 6 — 30 West Virginiaat WVUWest Virginia
20142014-11-29West Virginia 37 — 24 Iowa Stateat ISUWest Virginia
20132013-11-30Iowa State 52 — 44 West Virginiaat WVUIowa State
20122012-11-23West Virginia 31 — 24 Iowa Stateat ISUWest Virginia

West Virginia leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMichael Hawkins Jr. QB #347/83, 836 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
Scotty Fox Jr. QB #152/4, 27 YDS
RushingCam Cook RB #4119 CAR, 652 YDS, 5 TD
Michael Hawkins Jr. QB #392 CAR, 574 YDS, 11 TD
Amari Latimer RB #120 CAR, 97 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingDJ Epps WR #214 REC, 393 YDS, 4 TD
Jaden Bray WR #59 REC, 152 YDS
John Neider WR #806 REC, 71 YDS
Armoni Weaver-Bomar WR #253 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesIsaiah Patterson LB #1637
Kamari Wilson S #830
Ben Cutter LB #1528
SacksAshton Woods LB #332
Nate Gabriel DL #932
Ben Cutter LB #151
InterceptionsKamari Wilson S #81
Ashton Woods LB #331
Isaiah Patterson LB #161

Iowa State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJaylen Raynor QB #185/148, 1001 YDS, 7 TD, 4 INT
Aiden Flora RB #212/2, 48 YDS, 2 TD
RushingAiden Flora RB #2190 CAR, 680 YDS, 6 TD
Jaylen Raynor QB #151 CAR, 166 YDS, 3 TD
Arnold Barnes III RB #325 CAR, 90 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDominic Overby WR #1110 REC, 212 YDS, 1 TD
Omari Hayes WR #917 REC, 208 YDS, 1 TD
Cody Jackson WR #210 REC, 191 YDS, 1 TD
Ty Claiborne WR #8910 REC, 103 YDS
Defense
TacklesSullivan Schlimgen LB #756
Carson Willich LB #1036
Brody Miller S #2422
SacksIsaac Terrell DE #883
Carson Willich LB #101
Jace Gilbert DE #551
InterceptionsBeni Ngoyi CB #51
Beau Goodwin LB #341
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.