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Wk 7 · 2026

Western Michigan Broncos at Central Michigan Chippewas — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · Kelly/Shorts Stadium, Mount Pleasant, MI · ESPN+

Weather at kickoff

39°F overcast
5% chance of precipitation · wind 19 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
at
1:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential WMU by 8.7

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

W Michigan: -1.9#76
Efficiency margin
C Michigan: -13.0#115
W Michigan: 27.5
Offense (pts/100)
C Michigan: 22.6
W Michigan: 20.4
Defense (pts/100)
C Michigan: 26.6
W Michigan: 60.8
Pace (plays/g)
C Michigan: 57.7
W Michigan: 5.44
Yards / play
C Michigan: 4.94
W Michigan: 5.07
Yards / play allowed
C Michigan: 5.69
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

W Michigan: 25.7
Points / game
C Michigan: 17.0
W Michigan: 17.3
Points allowed
C Michigan: 26.3
W Michigan: 331
Yards / game
C Michigan: 285
W Michigan: 336
Yards allowed
C Michigan: 373
W Michigan: 194
Pass yds allowed
C Michigan: 195
W Michigan: 143
Rush yds allowed
C Michigan: 178
W Michigan: 0.33
Turnovers / game
C Michigan: 1.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

W Michigan form

W 38-7vs KENTW 20-17at BUFL 7-32vs BOISW 28-21at RICEW 49-14vs MONM
2026 season

C Michigan form

L 14-31at OHIOW 41-17vs AKRL 3-52at MIAW 24-10vs WYOW 13-10vs COLG
2026 season

W Michigan this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

C Michigan this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentW MichiganC Michigan
Buffalo
MAC
at W 20-17 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Akron
MAC
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs W 41-17 preview
E Michigan
MAC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewN Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Miami OH
MAC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, W Michigan leads 11–9 · W Michigan won the last one
20 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.0 points toward W Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-01C Michigan 21 — 24 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20242024-11-19W Michigan 14 — 16 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20232023-11-07C Michigan 28 — 38 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20222022-11-16W Michigan 12 — 10 C Michiganat CMUW Michigan
20212021-11-03C Michigan 42 — 30 W Michiganat WMUC Michigan
20202020-11-18W Michigan 52 — 44 C Michiganat CMUW Michigan
20192019-09-28C Michigan 15 — 31 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20182018-10-20W Michigan 35 — 10 C Michiganat CMUW Michigan
20172017-11-01C Michigan 35 — 28 W Michiganat WMUC Michigan
20162016-10-01W Michigan 49 — 10 C Michiganat CMUW Michigan
20152015-10-10C Michigan 39 — 41 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20142014-11-22W Michigan 32 — 20 C Michiganat CMUW Michigan
20132013-11-16C Michigan 27 — 22 W Michiganat WMUC Michigan
20122012-11-03W Michigan 42 — 31 C Michiganat CMUW Michigan
20112011-09-17C Michigan 14 — 44 W Michiganat WMUW Michigan
20102010-11-05W Michigan 22 — 26 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20092009-10-17C Michigan 34 — 23 W Michiganat WMUC Michigan
20082008-10-18W Michigan 28 — 38 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20072007-11-06C Michigan 34 — 31 W Michiganat WMUC Michigan
20062006-11-10W Michigan 7 — 31 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan

W Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBroc Lowry QB #1277/113, 739 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
Trey Petty QB #104/6, 54 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJalen Buckley RB #662 CAR, 287 YDS, 5 TD
Broc Lowry QB #1256 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
Ofa Mataele RB #2432 CAR, 130 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingAveion Chenault WR #218 REC, 272 YDS, 1 TD
Nate Levicki TE #888 REC, 112 YDS
Baylin Brooks WR #714 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD
Egypt Nelson WR #811 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJustyce Betts LB #1035
Domanick Moon LB #4731
Dillon Moore LB #1231
SacksDillon Moore LB #121.5
KJ Burley DE #151.5
Domanick Moon LB #471
InterceptionsDillon Moore LB #121

C Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAngel Flores QB #726/47, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Jadyn Glasser QB #519/32, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingAngel Flores QB #781 CAR, 474 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Clerveaux RB #3137 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Vaughn Blue RB #2428 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis WR #207 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Shawn Foster II WR #165 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Justin Ruffin Jr. WR #99 REC, 57 YDS
Vaughn Blue RB #244 REC, 28 YDS
Defense
TacklesXavier White LB #1140
Mayson Hitchens LB #3533
Brett McCalla LB #4033
SacksJaxon Cherry DL #923
Max Van Fleet DL #971
Nathan VanTimmeren DL #481
InterceptionsJustin Taylor DB #142
Mayson Hitchens LB #351
Darrell Bryant Jr. DB #191
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.