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Wk 3 · 2026

Western Michigan Broncos at Rice Owls — Sat, Sep 19

Sat, Sep 19 · First Community Stadium, Houston, TX · ESPN+ FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:00pET
WMU -8.5 · total 43.5 DraftKings opened +11.5 · 3 toward RICE
Ratings differential WMU by 8.3
American · 1-5
21

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

W Michigan: -1.9#76
Efficiency margin
Rice: -12.6#112
W Michigan: 27.5
Offense (pts/100)
Rice: 23.0
W Michigan: 20.4
Defense (pts/100)
Rice: 26.6
W Michigan: 60.8
Pace (plays/g)
Rice: 62.7
W Michigan: 5.44
Yards / play
Rice: 5.00
W Michigan: 5.07
Yards / play allowed
Rice: 5.50
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

W Michigan: 25.7
Points / game
Rice: 17.0
W Michigan: 17.3
Points allowed
Rice: 27.5
W Michigan: 331
Yards / game
Rice: 313
W Michigan: 336
Yards allowed
Rice: 368
W Michigan: 194
Pass yds allowed
Rice: 179
W Michigan: 143
Rush yds allowed
Rice: 189
W Michigan: 0.33
Turnovers / game
Rice: 1.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

W Michigan form

W 38-7vs KENTW 20-17at BUFL 7-32vs BOISW 28-21at RICEW 49-14vs MONM
2026 season

Rice form

L 12-28at ECUL 14-16vs UTSAL 24-38at FRESL 21-28vs WMUL 0-52at ND
2026 season

W Michigan this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Rice this season

Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 0

These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · W Michigan won the last one
2 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 8.5 points toward Rice
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-19W Michigan 28 — 21 Riceat RICEW Michigan
20082008-12-30W Michigan 14 — 38 RiceneutralRice bowl/CFP

W Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBroc Lowry QB #1277/113, 739 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
Trey Petty QB #104/6, 54 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJalen Buckley RB #662 CAR, 287 YDS, 5 TD
Broc Lowry QB #1256 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD
Ofa Mataele RB #2432 CAR, 130 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingAveion Chenault WR #218 REC, 272 YDS, 1 TD
Nate Levicki TE #888 REC, 112 YDS
Baylin Brooks WR #714 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD
Egypt Nelson WR #811 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesJustyce Betts LB #1035
Domanick Moon LB #4731
Dillon Moore LB #1231
SacksDillon Moore LB #121.5
KJ Burley DE #151.5
Domanick Moon LB #471
InterceptionsDillon Moore LB #121

Rice leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJacurri Brown QB #1136/67, 410 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
Gael Ochoa QB #42/5, 17 YDS
RushingJacurri Brown QB #1188 CAR, 495 YDS, 4 TD
Tyvonn Byars RB #2652 CAR, 208 YDS, 1 TD
DAndre Hardeman Jr. RB #2852 CAR, 200 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingBarry Jackson Jr. WR #77 REC, 102 YDS, 1 TD
Jordan Clark WR #1911 REC, 102 YDS
Ben Grice WR #66 REC, 64 YDS
Max Mosey WR #132 REC, 45 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesAJ Brown DE #736
Austin Harnetiaux LB #5432
Stone Combs LB #3328
SacksChibby Nwajuaku DL #162
Matthew Aribisala DL #151
Aquantis Clemmons DL #571
InterceptionsDaveon Hook S #01
Jerrick Harper CB #51
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.