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Wk 12 · 2026

Arkansas Razorbacks at Texas Longhorns — Sat, Nov 21

Sat, Nov 21 · DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 40 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TEX by 23.6
SEC · 4-1

What is at stake

Southwest Classic. The old Southwest Conference blood feud, reborn as an SEC game โ€” but note it leaves AT&T Stadium in 2026 and is played on campus in Austin. A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. AFTERNOON: 3:30 - 4:30pm ET start. Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 ยท 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Arkansas: +0.5#67
Efficiency margin
Texas: +21.7#7
Arkansas: 30.7
Offense (pts/100)
Texas: 39.5
Arkansas: 21.3
Defense (pts/100)
Texas: 8.7
Arkansas: 68.2
Pace (plays/g)
Texas: 69.8
Arkansas: 4.80
Yards / play
Texas: 5.43
Arkansas: 5.94
Yards / play allowed
Texas: 4.22
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Arkansas: 19.3
Points / game
Texas: 31.4
Arkansas: 27.7
Points allowed
Texas: 16.0
Arkansas: 327
Yards / game
Texas: 379
Arkansas: 352
Yards allowed
Texas: 264
Arkansas: 203
Pass yds allowed
Texas: 168
Arkansas: 150
Rush yds allowed
Texas: 96
Arkansas: 1.33
Turnovers / game
Texas: 1.40
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Arkansas form

L 17-24vs TENNL 7-34at TA&MW 34-6vs TLSAL 17-45vs UGAL 10-43at UTAH
2026 season

Texas form

L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season

Arkansas this season

Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)

Texas this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentArkansasTexas
Texas A&M
SEC
at L 7-34 previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Tennessee
SEC
vs L 17-24 previewat W 20-17 preview
Missouri
SEC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
LSU
SEC
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Texas leads 3–2 · Texas has won the last 2
5 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 4.8 points toward Texas
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-22Arkansas 37 — 52 Texasat TEXTexas
20242024-11-16Texas 20 — 10 Arkansasat ARKTexas
20212021-09-11Texas 21 — 40 Arkansasat ARKArkansas
20142014-12-29Arkansas 31 — 7 TexasneutralArkansas bowl/CFP
20082008-09-27Arkansas 10 — 52 Texasat TEXTexas

Arkansas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKJ Jackson QB #795/157, 1038 YDS, 6 TD, 4 INT
AJ Hill QB #216/28, 181 YDS, 1 TD
RushingBraylen Russell RB #040 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
Sutton Smith RB #539 CAR, 126 YDS, 1 TD
KJ Jackson QB #739 CAR, 85 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingChris Marshall WR #635 REC, 549 YDS, 2 TD
Ismael Cisse WR #47 REC, 90 YDS, 2 TD
Jamari Hawkins WR #96 REC, 82 YDS
Ty Lockwood TE #8510 REC, 78 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBen Bogle LB #4435
Khmori House DB #633
Ja'Quavion Smith LB #2531
SacksQuincy Rhodes Jr. DL #972
Khmori House DB #62
Charlie Collins DL #91.5
InterceptionsChristian Harrison DB #11

Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingArch Manning QB #1673/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
Karle Lacey Jr. QB #97/8, 63 YDS
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #241 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD
Raleek Brown RB #048 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD
Arch Manning QB #1632 CAR, 82 YDS
ReceivingRyan Wingo WR #119 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD
Cam Coleman WR #812 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD
Emmett Mosley V WR #312 REC, 173 YDS
Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #46 REC, 81 YDS
Defense
TacklesRasheem Biles LB #329
Jelani McDonald DB #426
Justin Cryer LB #2823
SacksColin Simmons EDGE #17.5
Maraad Watson DL #882
Rasheem Biles LB #31
InterceptionsRasheem Biles LB #32
Graceson Littleton DB #291
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.