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Wk 10 · 2026

Texas Longhorns at Missouri Tigers — Sat, Nov 7

Sat, Nov 7 · Memorial Stadium, Columbia, MO

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 26 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
SEC · 4-1
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TEX by 4.1
SEC · 5-1

What is at stake

A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. EARLY: Noon - 1pm ET start. Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Missouri is ranked #14 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Texas: +21.7#7
Efficiency margin
Missouri: +15.2#12
Texas: 39.5
Offense (pts/100)
Missouri: 37.0
Texas: 8.7
Defense (pts/100)
Missouri: 12.8
Texas: 69.8
Pace (plays/g)
Missouri: 67.8
Texas: 5.43
Yards / play
Missouri: 6.34
Texas: 4.22
Yards / play allowed
Missouri: 4.51
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Texas: 31.4
Points / game
Missouri: 35.8
Texas: 16.0
Points allowed
Missouri: 17.7
Texas: 379
Yards / game
Missouri: 430
Texas: 264
Yards allowed
Missouri: 291
Texas: 168
Pass yds allowed
Missouri: 214
Texas: 96
Rush yds allowed
Missouri: 77
Texas: 1.40
Turnovers / game
Missouri: 0.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Texas form

L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season

Missouri form

W 27-6vs TA&MW 45-17vs FLAL 24-31at MSSTW 27-17vs TROYW 38-21at KU
2026 season

Texas this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Missouri this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentTexasMissouri
Oklahoma
SEC
N L 24-27 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Florida
SEC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs W 45-17 preview
Ole Miss
SEC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Mississippi St
SEC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat L 24-31 preview
Arkansas
SEC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Texas A&M
SEC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs W 27-6 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Texas leads 3–1 · Texas won the last one
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 16.0 points toward Texas
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20172017-12-27Texas 33 — 16 MissourineutralTexas bowl/CFP
20112011-11-12Texas 5 — 17 Missouriat MIZMissouri
20092009-10-24Texas 41 — 7 Missouriat MIZTexas
20082008-10-18Missouri 31 — 56 Texasat TEXTexas

Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingArch Manning QB #1673/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
Karle Lacey Jr. QB #97/8, 63 YDS
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #241 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD
Raleek Brown RB #048 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD
Arch Manning QB #1632 CAR, 82 YDS
ReceivingRyan Wingo WR #119 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD
Cam Coleman WR #812 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD
Emmett Mosley V WR #312 REC, 173 YDS
Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #46 REC, 81 YDS
Defense
TacklesRasheem Biles LB #329
Jelani McDonald DB #426
Justin Cryer LB #2823
SacksColin Simmons EDGE #17.5
Maraad Watson DL #882
Rasheem Biles LB #31
InterceptionsRasheem Biles LB #32
Graceson Littleton DB #291

Missouri leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAustin Simmons QB #1393/137, 1287 YDS, 13 TD
Matt Zollers QB #58/13, 87 YDS
RushingJamal Roberts RB #20113 CAR, 606 YDS, 6 TD
Xai'Shaun Edwards RB #2433 CAR, 124 YDS, 1 TD
Preston Hatfield RB #284 CAR, 34 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCayden Lee WR #1935 REC, 522 YDS, 4 TD
Donovan Olugbode WR #126 REC, 407 YDS, 6 TD
Shaun Terry II WR #49 REC, 96 YDS, 1 TD
Naeshaun Montgomery WR #07 REC, 82 YDS
Defense
TacklesNicholas Rodriguez LB #550
Santana Banner S #1544
Robert Woodyard Jr. LB #036
SacksDaeden Hopkins EDGE #106
Donta Simpson DT #83
Jason Dowell DT #922
InterceptionsRobert Woodyard Jr. LB #01
Jahlil Florence CB #211
Trajen Greco S #41
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.