Wk 8 · 2026
Ole Miss Rebels at Texas Longhorns — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
DKR-Texas Memorial Stadium, Austin, TX
Weather
85° / 68° overcast
20% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
SEC · 4-1
at
TBDET
TEX -8.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential TEX by 9.8
SEC · 4-1
What is at stake
A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. FLEX: 3:30 - 4:30pm OR 6 - 8pm ET start. Ole Miss is ranked #9 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Ole Miss form
W 52-17at VANL 28-52at FLAW 32-24vs LSUW 41-9vs CLTW 41-38vs LOU
2026 season
Texas form
L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season
Ole Miss this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Texas this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 5
| Opponent | Ole Miss | Texas |
|---|---|---|
| LSU SEC | vs W 32-24 preview | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Florida SEC | at L 28-52 preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Missouri SEC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Oklahoma SEC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | N L 24-27 preview |
| Mississippi St SEC | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Ole Miss won the last one
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.0 points toward Texas
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2013 | 2013-09-14 | Ole Miss 44 — 23 Texas | at TEX | Ole Miss |
| 2012 | 2012-09-15 | Texas 66 — 31 Ole Miss | at MISS | Texas |
Ole Miss leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 102/144, 1222 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Deuce Knight QB #2 | 4/8, 68 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kewan Lacy RB #5 | 39 CAR, 191 YDS, 4 TD |
| Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 28 CAR, 108 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Makhi Frazier RB #25 | 17 CAR, 80 YDS | |
| Receiving | Deuce Alexander WR #1 | 27 REC, 429 YDS, 4 TD |
| Caleb Odom TE #4 | 13 REC, 201 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Traylon Ray WR #7 | 13 REC, 188 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Horatio Fields WR #11 | 15 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Keaton Thomas LB #11 | 29 |
| Luke Ferrelli LB #12 | 27 | |
| Tah'j Butler LB #49 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Blake Purchase DE #3 | 1.5 |
| Jordan Renaud DE #1 | 1 | |
| Kam Franklin DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Cull S #29 | 1 |
| Jaylon Braxton CB #2 | 1 |
Texas leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Arch Manning QB #16 | 73/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT |
| Karle Lacey Jr. QB #9 | 7/8, 63 YDS | |
| Rushing | Hollywood Smothers RB #2 | 41 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD |
| Raleek Brown RB #0 | 48 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Arch Manning QB #16 | 32 CAR, 82 YDS | |
| Receiving | Ryan Wingo WR #1 | 19 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD |
| Cam Coleman WR #8 | 12 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Emmett Mosley V WR #3 | 12 REC, 173 YDS | |
| Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #4 | 6 REC, 81 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 29 |
| Jelani McDonald DB #4 | 26 | |
| Justin Cryer LB #28 | 23 | |
| Sacks | Colin Simmons EDGE #1 | 7.5 |
| Maraad Watson DL #88 | 2 | |
| Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Rasheem Biles LB #3 | 2 |
| Graceson Littleton DB #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.