Wk 4 · 2026
Ole Miss Rebels at Florida Gators — Sat, Sep 26
Sat, Sep 26 ·
Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, Gainesville, FL
· ABC FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
3:30pET
FLA -4 · total 58.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 2.5 toward FLA
Ratings differential FLA by 1.1
What is at stake
A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Ole Miss is ranked #9 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Florida is ranked #16 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Ole Miss form
W 52-17at VANL 28-52at FLAW 32-24vs LSUW 41-9vs CLTW 41-38vs LOU
2026 season
Florida form
L 19-38vs SCL 17-45at MIZW 52-28vs MISSW 44-39at AUBW 52-3vs CAM
2026 season
Ole Miss this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Florida this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Ole Miss | Florida |
|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt SEC | at W 52-17 preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Missouri SEC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | at L 17-45 preview |
| Texas SEC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| Auburn SEC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at W 44-39 preview |
| Georgia SEC | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | N Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Oklahoma SEC | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Florida leads 5–2 · Florida won the last one
7 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
10.0 points toward Florida
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-26 | Ole Miss 28 — 52 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2025 | 2025-11-15 | Florida 24 — 34 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2024 | 2024-11-23 | Ole Miss 17 — 24 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2020 | 2020-09-26 | Florida 51 — 35 Ole Miss | at MISS | Florida |
| 2015 | 2015-10-03 | Ole Miss 10 — 38 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2008 | 2008-09-27 | Ole Miss 31 — 30 Florida | at FLA | Ole Miss |
| 2007 | 2007-09-22 | Florida 30 — 24 Ole Miss | at MISS | Florida |
Ole Miss leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 102/144, 1222 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Deuce Knight QB #2 | 4/8, 68 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kewan Lacy RB #5 | 39 CAR, 191 YDS, 4 TD |
| Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 28 CAR, 108 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Makhi Frazier RB #25 | 17 CAR, 80 YDS | |
| Receiving | Deuce Alexander WR #1 | 27 REC, 429 YDS, 4 TD |
| Caleb Odom TE #4 | 13 REC, 201 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Traylon Ray WR #7 | 13 REC, 188 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Horatio Fields WR #11 | 15 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Keaton Thomas LB #11 | 29 |
| Luke Ferrelli LB #12 | 27 | |
| Tah'j Butler LB #49 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Blake Purchase DE #3 | 1.5 |
| Jordan Renaud DE #1 | 1 | |
| Kam Franklin DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Cull S #29 | 1 |
| Jaylon Braxton CB #2 | 1 |
Florida leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Aaron Philo QB #12 | 84/121, 1114 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT |
| Tramell Jones Jr. QB #9 | 17/21, 212 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Jadan Baugh RB #13 | 95 CAR, 613 YDS, 11 TD |
| Duke Clark RB #20 | 33 CAR, 260 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Aaron Philo QB #12 | 31 CAR, 72 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Dallas Wilson WR #6 | 18 REC, 302 YDS, 3 TD |
| Vernell Brown III WR #1 | 17 REC, 271 YDS, 2 TD | |
| TJ Abrams WR #4 | 8 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Bailey Stockton WR #3 | 15 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Myles Graham LB #5 | 34 |
| Aaron Chiles LB #8 | 22 | |
| Jayden Woods LB #0 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Jayden Woods LB #0 | 4 |
| Emmanuel Oyebadejo DL #99 | 3.5 | |
| Kamran James DL #24 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | DJ Coleman S #33 | 2 |
| Cormani McClain CB #25 | 1 | |
| Dijon Johnson CB #27 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.