Wk 3 · 2026
LSU Tigers at Ole Miss Rebels — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Vaught-Hemingway Stadium, Oxford, MS
· ABC FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
7:30pET
LSU -3 · total 58.5 DraftKings opened -1.5 · 4.5 toward LSU
Ratings differential LSU by 2.0
What is at stake
Magnolia Bowl. A night game in the Grove-to-Vaught pipeline for a trophy created in 2008 to name a rivalry that had already been going for a century. They play for the Magnolia Bowl trophy. A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. LSU is ranked #10 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). Ole Miss is ranked #9 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
LSU form
L 34-35at UKW 63-14vs MCNW 35-6vs TA&ML 24-32at MISSW 45-14vs LT
2026 season
Ole Miss form
W 52-17at VANL 28-52at FLAW 32-24vs LSUW 41-9vs CLTW 41-38vs LOU
2026 season
LSU this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Ole Miss this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | LSU | Ole Miss |
|---|---|---|
| Mississippi St SEC | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Auburn SEC | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Texas SEC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, LSU leads 13–8 · Ole Miss has won the last 2
21 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
5.9 points toward LSU
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-19 | LSU 24 — 32 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2025 | 2025-09-27 | LSU 19 — 24 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2024 | 2024-10-12 | Ole Miss 26 — 29 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2023 | 2023-09-30 | LSU 49 — 55 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2022 | 2022-10-22 | Ole Miss 20 — 45 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2021 | 2021-10-23 | LSU 17 — 31 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2020 | 2020-12-19 | Ole Miss 48 — 53 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2019 | 2019-11-16 | LSU 58 — 37 Ole Miss | at MISS | LSU |
| 2018 | 2018-09-29 | Ole Miss 16 — 45 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2017 | 2017-10-21 | LSU 40 — 24 Ole Miss | at MISS | LSU |
| 2016 | 2016-10-22 | Ole Miss 21 — 38 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2015 | 2015-11-21 | LSU 17 — 38 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2014 | 2014-10-25 | Ole Miss 7 — 10 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2013 | 2013-10-19 | LSU 24 — 27 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2012 | 2012-11-17 | Ole Miss 35 — 41 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2011 | 2011-11-19 | LSU 52 — 3 Ole Miss | at MISS | LSU |
| 2010 | 2010-11-20 | Ole Miss 36 — 43 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2009 | 2009-11-21 | LSU 23 — 25 Ole Miss | at MISS | Ole Miss |
| 2008 | 2008-11-22 | Ole Miss 31 — 13 LSU | at LSU | Ole Miss |
| 2007 | 2007-11-17 | LSU 41 — 24 Ole Miss | at MISS | LSU |
| 2006 | 2006-11-18 | Ole Miss 20 — 23 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
LSU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 92/139, 1221 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT |
| Landen Clark QB #11 | 14/31, 235 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Dilin Jones RB #13 | 94 CAR, 426 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 45 CAR, 220 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Harlem Berry RB #22 | 27 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Winston Watkins Jr. WR #6 | 23 REC, 354 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jackson Harris WR #4 | 15 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Trey'Dez Green TE #14 | 14 REC, 222 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Eugene Wilson III WR #3 | 19 REC, 210 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | TJ Dottery LB #6 | 28 |
| Whit Weeks LB #7 | 23 | |
| Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 8 |
| Deuce Geralds DT #99 | 5 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tamarcus Cooley S #0 | 2 |
| Ja'Keem Jackson CB #8 | 1 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1 |
Ole Miss leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 102/144, 1222 YDS, 8 TD, 3 INT |
| Deuce Knight QB #2 | 4/8, 68 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Kewan Lacy RB #5 | 39 CAR, 191 YDS, 4 TD |
| Trinidad Chambliss QB #6 | 28 CAR, 108 YDS, 4 TD | |
| Makhi Frazier RB #25 | 17 CAR, 80 YDS | |
| Receiving | Deuce Alexander WR #1 | 27 REC, 429 YDS, 4 TD |
| Caleb Odom TE #4 | 13 REC, 201 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Traylon Ray WR #7 | 13 REC, 188 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Horatio Fields WR #11 | 15 REC, 171 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Keaton Thomas LB #11 | 29 |
| Luke Ferrelli LB #12 | 27 | |
| Tah'j Butler LB #49 | 24 | |
| Sacks | Blake Purchase DE #3 | 1.5 |
| Jordan Renaud DE #1 | 1 | |
| Kam Franklin DE #5 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Cull S #29 | 1 |
| Jaylon Braxton CB #2 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.