Wk 7 · 2026
Mississippi State Bulldogs at LSU Tigers — Sat, Oct 17
Sat, Oct 17 ·
Tiger Stadium (LA), Baton Rouge, LA
· ESPN
SEC · 4-1
at
12:00pET
LSU -11.5 · total 59.5 DraftKings opened -12.5 · 1 toward MSST
Ratings differential LSU by 9.4
#10 LSU Tigers
SEC · 4-2
What is at stake
A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Mississippi St is ranked #17 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04). LSU is ranked #10 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Mississippi St form
L 23-56vs ALAW 31-24vs MIZW 41-34at SCW 38-13at MINNW 62-13vs ULM
2026 season
LSU form
L 34-35at UKW 63-14vs MCNW 35-6vs TA&ML 24-32at MISSW 45-14vs LT
2026 season
Mississippi St this season
Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)
LSU this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 4
| Opponent | Mississippi St | LSU |
|---|---|---|
| Alabama SEC | vs L 23-56 preview | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Texas SEC | at Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Auburn SEC | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Ole Miss SEC | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview | at L 24-32 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, LSU leads 15–3 · LSU has won the last 3
18 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
12.3 points toward LSU
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2023 | 2023-09-16 | LSU 41 — 14 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2022 | 2022-09-17 | Mississippi St 16 — 31 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2021 | 2021-09-25 | LSU 28 — 25 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2020 | 2020-09-26 | Mississippi St 44 — 34 LSU | at LSU | Mississippi St |
| 2019 | 2019-10-19 | LSU 36 — 13 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2018 | 2018-10-20 | Mississippi St 3 — 19 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2017 | 2017-09-16 | LSU 7 — 37 Mississippi St | at MSST | Mississippi St |
| 2016 | 2016-09-17 | Mississippi St 20 — 23 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2015 | 2015-09-12 | LSU 21 — 19 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2014 | 2014-09-20 | Mississippi St 34 — 29 LSU | at LSU | Mississippi St |
| 2013 | 2013-10-05 | LSU 59 — 26 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2012 | 2012-11-10 | Mississippi St 17 — 37 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2011 | 2011-09-15 | LSU 19 — 6 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2010 | 2010-09-18 | Mississippi St 7 — 29 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2009 | 2009-09-26 | LSU 30 — 26 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2008 | 2008-09-27 | Mississippi St 24 — 34 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
| 2007 | 2007-08-30 | LSU 45 — 0 Mississippi St | at MSST | LSU |
| 2006 | 2006-09-30 | Mississippi St 17 — 48 LSU | at LSU | LSU |
Mississippi St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 102/154, 1450 YDS, 17 TD, 4 INT |
| Parker Puckett QB #15 | 8/14, 89 YDS | |
| Rushing | Fluff Bothwell RB #24 | 74 CAR, 403 YDS, 3 TD |
| Kamario Taylor QB #1 | 43 CAR, 159 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Kolin Wilson RB #6 | 31 CAR, 131 YDS | |
| Receiving | Anthony Evans III WR #3 | 40 REC, 574 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sanfrisco Magee WR #13 | 16 REC, 259 YDS, 5 TD | |
| Marquis Johnson WR #2 | 13 REC, 218 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Zion Ragins WR #7 | 11 REC, 184 YDS, 4 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 31 |
| Jalen Smith LB #10 | 28 | |
| Amaree Williams EDGE #4 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Will Whitson DL #43 | 2 |
| Tyler Lockhart LB #11 | 2 | |
| Jaray Bledsoe DL #9 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Jalen Smith LB #10 | 1 |
| Dre Riley S #21 | 1 |
LSU leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 92/139, 1221 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT |
| Landen Clark QB #11 | 14/31, 235 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Dilin Jones RB #13 | 94 CAR, 426 YDS, 5 TD |
| Sam Leavitt QB #10 | 45 CAR, 220 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Harlem Berry RB #22 | 27 CAR, 196 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Winston Watkins Jr. WR #6 | 23 REC, 354 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jackson Harris WR #4 | 15 REC, 317 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Trey'Dez Green TE #14 | 14 REC, 222 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Eugene Wilson III WR #3 | 19 REC, 210 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | TJ Dottery LB #6 | 28 |
| Whit Weeks LB #7 | 23 | |
| Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Princewill Umanmielen DE #1 | 8 |
| Deuce Geralds DT #99 | 5 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Tamarcus Cooley S #0 | 2 |
| Ja'Keem Jackson CB #8 | 1 | |
| Jordan Ross DE #29 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.