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Wk 6 · 2026

Texas Longhorns vs Oklahoma Sooners — Sat, Oct 10

Sat, Oct 10 · Cotton Bowl, Dallas, TX · ABC FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
#1 Texas Longhorns
SEC · 4-1
24
vs
3:30pET
TEX -7.5 · total 40.5 DraftKings opened +6 · 1.5 toward TEX
Ratings differential TEX by 8.3
Oklahoma Sooners
SEC · 3-2
27

What is at stake

Red River Rivalry. The State Fair of Texas, a stadium split exactly down the 50-yard line, and a Golden Hat that changes sides in front of 46,000 fans who can all see each other. They play for the Golden Hat. A SEC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. Texas is ranked #1 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus no home-field adjustment at a neutral site. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Texas: +21.7#7
Efficiency margin
Oklahoma: +13.4#21
Texas: 39.5
Offense (pts/100)
Oklahoma: 33.9
Texas: 8.7
Defense (pts/100)
Oklahoma: 11.4
Texas: 69.8
Pace (plays/g)
Oklahoma: 60.8
Texas: 5.43
Yards / play
Oklahoma: 5.01
Texas: 4.22
Yards / play allowed
Oklahoma: 4.65
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Texas: 31.4
Points / game
Oklahoma: 23.0
Texas: 16.0
Points allowed
Oklahoma: 17.6
Texas: 379
Yards / game
Oklahoma: 305
Texas: 264
Yards allowed
Oklahoma: 267
Texas: 168
Pass yds allowed
Oklahoma: 150
Texas: 96
Rush yds allowed
Oklahoma: 117
Texas: 1.40
Turnovers / game
Oklahoma: 2.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Texas form

L 24-27at OUW 20-17at TENNW 30-6vs UTSAW 24-23vs OSUW 59-7vs TXST
2026 season

Oklahoma form

W 27-24vs TEXL 13-41at UGAW 14-6vs UNML 10-17at MICHW 51-0vs UTEP
2026 season

Texas this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

Oklahoma this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 5

OpponentTexasOklahoma
Florida
SEC
vs Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Ole Miss
SEC
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Mississippi St
SEC
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Missouri
SEC
at Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Texas A&M
SEC
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Oklahoma leads 13–9 · Oklahoma won the last one
22 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.1 points toward Texas
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-10Texas 24 — 27 OklahomaneutralOklahoma
20252025-10-11Oklahoma 6 — 23 TexasneutralTexas
20242024-10-12Texas 34 — 3 OklahomaneutralTexas
20232023-10-07Oklahoma 34 — 30 TexasneutralOklahoma
20222022-10-08Texas 49 — 0 OklahomaneutralTexas
20212021-10-09Oklahoma 55 — 48 TexasneutralOklahoma
20202020-10-10Texas 45 — 53 OklahomaneutralOklahoma
20192019-10-12Oklahoma 34 — 27 TexasneutralOklahoma
20182018-12-01Texas 27 — 39 OklahomaneutralOklahoma
20182018-10-06Texas 48 — 45 OklahomaneutralTexas
20172017-10-14Oklahoma 29 — 24 TexasneutralOklahoma
20162016-10-08Texas 40 — 45 OklahomaneutralOklahoma
20152015-10-10Oklahoma 17 — 24 TexasneutralTexas
20142014-10-11Texas 26 — 31 OklahomaneutralOklahoma
20132013-10-12Oklahoma 20 — 36 TexasneutralTexas
20122012-10-13Texas 21 — 63 OklahomaneutralOklahoma
20112011-10-08Oklahoma 55 — 17 TexasneutralOklahoma
20102010-10-02Texas 20 — 28 OklahomaneutralOklahoma
20092009-10-17Oklahoma 13 — 16 TexasneutralTexas
20082008-10-11Texas 45 — 35 OklahomaneutralTexas
20072007-10-06Oklahoma 28 — 21 TexasneutralOklahoma
20062006-10-07Texas 28 — 10 OklahomaneutralTexas

Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingArch Manning QB #1673/115, 862 YDS, 7 TD, 3 INT
Karle Lacey Jr. QB #97/8, 63 YDS
RushingHollywood Smothers RB #241 CAR, 198 YDS, 2 TD
Raleek Brown RB #048 CAR, 196 YDS, 4 TD
Arch Manning QB #1632 CAR, 82 YDS
ReceivingRyan Wingo WR #119 REC, 239 YDS, 2 TD
Cam Coleman WR #812 REC, 208 YDS, 4 TD
Emmett Mosley V WR #312 REC, 173 YDS
Jermaine Bishop Jr. WR #46 REC, 81 YDS
Defense
TacklesRasheem Biles LB #329
Jelani McDonald DB #426
Justin Cryer LB #2823
SacksColin Simmons EDGE #17.5
Maraad Watson DL #882
Rasheem Biles LB #31
InterceptionsRasheem Biles LB #32
Graceson Littleton DB #291
full roster and per-player history

Oklahoma leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJohn Mateer QB #1072/109, 883 YDS, 8 TD, 4 INT
Whitt Newbauer QB #161/1, 6 YDS
RushingLloyd Avant RB #942 CAR, 164 YDS, 1 TD
John Mateer QB #1041 CAR, 76 YDS
Xavier Robinson RB #2113 CAR, 50 YDS
ReceivingIsaiah Sategna III WR #120 REC, 267 YDS, 2 TD
Rocky Beers TE #8118 REC, 255 YDS, 2 TD
Trell Harris WR #116 REC, 104 YDS, 1 TD
Hayden Hansen TE #894 REC, 64 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesOwen Heinecke LB #3828
James Nesta LB #4718
Peyton Bowen DB #2217
SacksAdepoju Adebawore DL #342.5
Reggie Powers III DB #32
Kip Lewis LB #101
InterceptionsOmarion Robinson DB #21
full roster and per-player history
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.