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Wk 5 · 2026

Boston College Eagles at SMU Mustangs — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Gerald J. Ford Stadium, Dallas, TX · CW FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
SMU -21.5 · total 54.5 DraftKings opened -21 · 0.5 toward SMU
Ratings differential SMU by 14.6
ACC · 4-1
25

What is at stake

A ACC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race. SMU is ranked #24 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Boston College: -7.9#100
Efficiency margin
SMU: +4.3#49
Boston College: 25.0
Offense (pts/100)
SMU: 33.6
Boston College: 23.9
Defense (pts/100)
SMU: 20.3
Boston College: 64.0
Pace (plays/g)
SMU: 68.8
Boston College: 5.41
Yards / play
SMU: 6.97
Boston College: 4.73
Yards / play allowed
SMU: 4.95
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Boston College: 19.0
Points / game
SMU: 34.6
Boston College: 23.4
Points allowed
SMU: 23.0
Boston College: 346
Yards / game
SMU: 479
Boston College: 316
Yards allowed
SMU: 312
Boston College: 165
Pass yds allowed
SMU: 170
Boston College: 152
Rush yds allowed
SMU: 142
Boston College: 1.60
Turnovers / game
SMU: 1.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Boston College form

L 16-25at SMUL 14-21vs VTW 22-16vs MEW 28-21vs RUTGL 15-34at CIN
2026 season

SMU form

W 25-16vs BCW 34-24vs MOSTL 31-41at LOUW 56-10vs UCDW 27-24at FSU
2026 season

Boston College this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under0-5 · 0% (5 games)

SMU this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread1-3-1 · 25% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentBoston CollegeSMU
Virginia Tech
ACC
vs L 14-21 previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Florida St
ACC
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat W 27-24 preview
Notre Dame
FBS Indep.
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Syracuse
ACC
vs Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, SMU leads 3–1 · SMU has won the last 3
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 10.5 points toward SMU
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03Boston College 16 — 25 SMUat SMUSMU
20252025-11-08SMU 45 — 13 Boston Collegeat BCSMU
20242024-11-16Boston College 28 — 38 SMUat SMUSMU
20232023-12-28SMU 14 — 23 Boston CollegeneutralBoston College bowl/CFP

Boston College leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMason McKenzie QB #1081/139, 967 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT
Landon Wright WR #90/1, 0 YDS
RushingMason McKenzie QB #1095 CAR, 437 YDS, 3 TD
Evan Dickens RB #2350 CAR, 236 YDS, 3 TD
Bo MacCormack III RB #2418 CAR, 54 YDS
ReceivingJavarius Green WR #418 REC, 169 YDS
Dawson Pough WR #310 REC, 158 YDS, 1 TD
Johnathan Montague Jr. WR #88 REC, 150 YDS, 2 TD
Evan Dickens RB #2311 REC, 106 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesAnthony Palano LB #145
KP Price DB #236
Marcus Upton DB #532
SacksE'Lla Boykin DL #563.5
Demetrius Ballard DE #133
Christian Hudson DL #551.5
InterceptionsKP Price DB #22
Anthony Palano LB #12
Carter Davis DB #71

SMU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKevin Jennings QB #7117/156, 1588 YDS, 14 TD, 5 INT
Ty Hawkins QB #111/13, 104 YDS, 2 TD
RushingKendrick Raphael RB #677 CAR, 418 YDS, 6 TD
Dramekco Green RB #436 CAR, 111 YDS
Kevin Jennings QB #732 CAR, 69 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingYamir Knight WR #829 REC, 367 YDS, 2 TD
Jalen Cooper WR #1019 REC, 290 YDS, 1 TD
Yannick Smith WR #314 REC, 231 YDS, 2 TD
Randy Pittman TE #516 REC, 153 YDS, 3 TD
Defense
TacklesTyren Polley Jr. S #1030
Alexander Kilgore LB #2325
Jimmy Wyrick S #2122
SacksMarques White DE #164.5
Aakil Washington DE #582
Jimmy Wyrick S #212
InterceptionsJarvis Lee S #11
Brandon Booker LB #281
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.