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Wk 13 · 2026

Central Michigan Chippewas at Ball State Cardinals — Sat, Nov 28

Sat, Nov 28 · Scheumann Stadium, Muncie, IN

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 48 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
12:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CMU by 5.4

What is at stake

A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

C Michigan: -13.0#115
Efficiency margin
Ball State: -20.8#133
C Michigan: 22.6
Offense (pts/100)
Ball State: 21.2
C Michigan: 26.6
Defense (pts/100)
Ball State: 33.0
C Michigan: 57.7
Pace (plays/g)
Ball State: 63.0
C Michigan: 4.94
Yards / play
Ball State: 4.89
C Michigan: 5.69
Yards / play allowed
Ball State: 6.86
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

C Michigan: 17.0
Points / game
Ball State: 18.3
C Michigan: 26.3
Points allowed
Ball State: 39.0
C Michigan: 285
Yards / game
Ball State: 308
C Michigan: 373
Yards allowed
Ball State: 467
C Michigan: 195
Pass yds allowed
Ball State: 248
C Michigan: 178
Rush yds allowed
Ball State: 219
C Michigan: 1.67
Turnovers / game
Ball State: 1.00
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

C Michigan form

L 14-31at OHIOW 41-17vs AKRL 3-52at MIAW 24-10vs WYOW 13-10vs COLG
2026 season

Ball State form

L 14-45at NUL 24-39vs TOLL 13-26at KENTL 15-51at LIBW 41-17vs STBK
2026 season

C Michigan this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)

Ball State this season

Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentC MichiganBall State
Ohio
MAC
at L 14-31 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Sacramento St
MAC
vs Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Buffalo
MAC
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Ball State leads 10–9 · C Michigan won the last one
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.4 points toward C Michigan
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20242024-09-21Ball State 34 — 37 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20232023-10-21C Michigan 17 — 24 Ball Stateat BALLBall State
20222022-10-08Ball State 17 — 16 C Michiganat CMUBall State
20212021-11-17C Michigan 37 — 17 Ball Stateat BALLC Michigan
20202020-12-05Ball State 45 — 20 C Michiganat CMUBall State
20192019-11-16C Michigan 45 — 44 Ball Stateat BALLC Michigan
20182018-10-13Ball State 24 — 23 C Michiganat CMUBall State
20172017-10-21C Michigan 56 — 9 Ball Stateat BALLC Michigan
20162016-10-08Ball State 21 — 24 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan
20152015-10-24C Michigan 23 — 21 Ball Stateat BALLC Michigan
20142014-10-18Ball State 32 — 29 C Michiganat CMUBall State
20132013-11-06C Michigan 24 — 44 Ball Stateat BALLBall State
20122012-10-20Ball State 41 — 30 C Michiganat CMUBall State
20112011-10-22C Michigan 27 — 31 Ball Stateat BALLBall State
20102010-10-02Ball State 31 — 17 C Michiganat CMUBall State
20092009-11-18C Michigan 35 — 3 Ball Stateat BALLC Michigan
20082008-11-19Ball State 31 — 24 C Michiganat CMUBall State
20072007-10-06C Michigan 58 — 38 Ball Stateat BALLC Michigan
20062006-10-14Ball State 7 — 18 C Michiganat CMUC Michigan

C Michigan leaders 2026 regular season

PassingAngel Flores QB #726/47, 201 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
Jadyn Glasser QB #519/32, 183 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
RushingAngel Flores QB #781 CAR, 474 YDS, 4 TD
Jayden Clerveaux RB #3137 CAR, 219 YDS, 1 TD
Vaughn Blue RB #2428 CAR, 136 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingLangston Lewis WR #207 REC, 114 YDS, 1 TD
Shawn Foster II WR #165 REC, 74 YDS, 1 TD
Justin Ruffin Jr. WR #99 REC, 57 YDS
Vaughn Blue RB #244 REC, 28 YDS
Defense
TacklesXavier White LB #1140
Mayson Hitchens LB #3533
Brett McCalla LB #4033
SacksJaxon Cherry DL #923
Max Van Fleet DL #971
Nathan VanTimmeren DL #481
InterceptionsJustin Taylor DB #142
Mayson Hitchens LB #351
Darrell Bryant Jr. DB #191

Ball State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKeldric Luster QB #676/119, 662 YDS, 5 TD, 3 INT
Tyler Mizzell QB #919/33, 209 YDS, 1 TD
RushingTJ Horton RB #437 CAR, 301 YDS, 4 TD
Jalen Bonds RB #224 CAR, 126 YDS, 2 TD
Johnny Thompson Jr. RB #2024 CAR, 74 YDS
ReceivingDonovan Hamilton WR #120 REC, 220 YDS, 1 TD
Jamarion McDougle WR #1012 REC, 135 YDS
Jabari Smith WR #512 REC, 132 YDS, 2 TD
Isaiah Thacker WR #1113 REC, 112 YDS
Defense
TacklesSterling Smith DB #135
Cincear Lewis LB #626
Quentavius Scandrett DB #3325
SacksLayton Starks LB #111.5
Jared Badie LB #311
Ka'Shawn Thomas DT #941
InterceptionsKamron Chamble DB #132
Cedric Franklin II DB #181
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.