Wk 13 · 2026
Florida Gators at Florida State Seminoles — Fri, Nov 27
Fri, Nov 27 ·
Doak Campbell Stadium, Tallahassee, FL
· ABC
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 47 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
#16 Florida Gators
SEC · 4-2
at
3:30pET
FLA -4.5 · total 52.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential FLA by 6.1
ACC · 3-3
What is at stake
Florida-Florida State. Two hours and an entire cultural divide apart, played on the Friday after Thanksgiving with recruiting in the state riding on it. A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race. Florida is ranked #16 (AP Top 25 · 2026-10-04).
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Florida form
L 19-38vs SCL 17-45at MIZW 52-28vs MISSW 44-39at AUBW 52-3vs CAM
2026 season
Florida St form
L 20-44at LOUW 38-7vs UVAW 34-7vs CARKL 36-50at ALAL 24-27vs SMU
2026 season
Florida this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Florida St this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Florida leads 10–9 · Florida has won the last 2
19 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
2.7 points toward Florida
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-29 | Florida St 21 — 40 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2024 | 2024-11-30 | Florida 31 — 11 Florida St | at FSU | Florida |
| 2023 | 2023-11-25 | Florida St 24 — 15 Florida | at FLA | Florida St |
| 2022 | 2022-11-25 | Florida 38 — 45 Florida St | at FSU | Florida St |
| 2021 | 2021-11-27 | Florida St 21 — 24 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2019 | 2019-11-30 | Florida St 17 — 40 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2018 | 2018-11-24 | Florida 41 — 14 Florida St | at FSU | Florida |
| 2017 | 2017-11-25 | Florida St 38 — 22 Florida | at FLA | Florida St |
| 2016 | 2016-11-26 | Florida 13 — 31 Florida St | at FSU | Florida St |
| 2015 | 2015-11-28 | Florida St 27 — 2 Florida | at FLA | Florida St |
| 2014 | 2014-11-29 | Florida 19 — 24 Florida St | at FSU | Florida St |
| 2013 | 2013-11-30 | Florida St 37 — 7 Florida | at FLA | Florida St |
| 2012 | 2012-11-24 | Florida 37 — 26 Florida St | at FSU | Florida |
| 2011 | 2011-11-26 | Florida St 21 — 7 Florida | at FLA | Florida St |
| 2010 | 2010-11-27 | Florida 7 — 31 Florida St | at FSU | Florida St |
| 2009 | 2009-11-28 | Florida St 10 — 37 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2008 | 2008-11-29 | Florida 45 — 15 Florida St | at FSU | Florida |
| 2007 | 2007-11-24 | Florida St 12 — 45 Florida | at FLA | Florida |
| 2006 | 2006-11-25 | Florida 21 — 14 Florida St | at FSU | Florida |
Florida leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Aaron Philo QB #12 | 84/121, 1114 YDS, 8 TD, 2 INT |
| Tramell Jones Jr. QB #9 | 17/21, 212 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Jadan Baugh RB #13 | 95 CAR, 613 YDS, 11 TD |
| Duke Clark RB #20 | 33 CAR, 260 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Aaron Philo QB #12 | 31 CAR, 72 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Receiving | Dallas Wilson WR #6 | 18 REC, 302 YDS, 3 TD |
| Vernell Brown III WR #1 | 17 REC, 271 YDS, 2 TD | |
| TJ Abrams WR #4 | 8 REC, 166 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Bailey Stockton WR #3 | 15 REC, 131 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Myles Graham LB #5 | 34 |
| Aaron Chiles LB #8 | 22 | |
| Jayden Woods LB #0 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Jayden Woods LB #0 | 4 |
| Emmanuel Oyebadejo DL #99 | 3.5 | |
| Kamran James DL #24 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | DJ Coleman S #33 | 2 |
| Cormani McClain CB #25 | 1 | |
| Dijon Johnson CB #27 | 1 |
Florida St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Ashton Daniels QB #14 | 91/153, 1320 YDS, 8 TD, 7 INT |
| Kevin Sperry QB #9 | 2/3, 14 YDS | |
| Rushing | Ousmane Kromah RB #32 | 100 CAR, 565 YDS, 5 TD |
| Ashton Daniels QB #14 | 70 CAR, 323 YDS, 10 TD | |
| Quintrevion Wisner RB #5 | 29 CAR, 141 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jayvan Boggs WR #15 | 16 REC, 299 YDS, 1 TD |
| Duce Robinson WR #0 | 17 REC, 294 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Micahi Danzy WR #8 | 19 REC, 293 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Samuel Singleton Jr. RB #3 | 8 REC, 162 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | CJ Richard Jr. DB #11 | 38 |
| Chris Jones LB #10 | 37 | |
| Omar Graham Jr. LB #9 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Rylan Kennedy DL #15 | 5 |
| Mikai Gbayor LB #28 | 2 | |
| Mandrell Desir DL #3 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Quindarrius Jones DB #0 | 1 |
| Nehemiah Chandler DB #12 | 1 | |
| Ashlynd Barker DB #7 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.