Wk 13 · 2026
Liberty Flames at Missouri State Bears — Sat, Nov 28
Sat, Nov 28 ·
Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 48 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · 5-1
at
2:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential LIB by 12.9
CUSA · 1-4
What is at stake
A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Liberty form
W 35-3vs SHSUW 30-14at DELW 34-17at CCUW 51-15vs BALLW 24-23vs GWEB
2026 season
Missouri St form
L 13-34at WKUL 24-34at SMUL 24-30vs MRSHW 48-14vs LINL 0-50at TA&M
2026 season
Liberty this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Missouri St this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | Liberty | Missouri St |
|---|---|---|
| Delaware CUSA | at W 30-14 preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
| Sam Houston CUSA | vs W 35-3 preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Kennesaw St CUSA | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
| FIU CUSA | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| New Mexico St CUSA | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 11 · scheduled preview |
| Western KY CUSA | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at L 13-34 preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Missouri St leads 1–0 · Missouri St won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
4.0 points toward Missouri St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-11-08 | Missouri St 21 — 17 Liberty | at LIB | Missouri St |
Liberty leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Deshawn Purdie QB #5 | 70/114, 1050 YDS, 8 TD |
| Jaylen Henderson QB #13 | 5/13, 101 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rushing | Kam Davis RB #4 | 74 CAR, 524 YDS, 4 TD |
| Peyton Jones RB #7 | 56 CAR, 259 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jaylon Coleman RB #0 | 24 CAR, 238 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Makai Jackson WR #2 | 22 REC, 515 YDS, 5 TD |
| Jamari Person WR #3 | 12 REC, 166 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Darius Copeland WR #1 | 8 REC, 125 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Zeke Wimbush TE #88 | 7 REC, 88 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Derrell Farrar LB #1 | 33 |
| Aidan Vaughan LB #33 | 33 | |
| Jeremiah Vessel S #13 | 22 | |
| Sacks | Brenton Williams RB #8 | 2.5 |
| Markus Clark DL #15 | 1.5 | |
| Deuce Spurlock LB #9 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Elijah Hopkins CB #5 | 1 |
| Deuce Spurlock LB #9 | 1 | |
| Jeremiah Vessel S #13 | 1 |
Missouri St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Skyler Locklear QB #9 | 71/108, 788 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Henry Belin IV QB #2 | 19/34, 250 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Breezy Dubar RB #1 | 42 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ramone Green Jr. RB #22 | 46 CAR, 209 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Skyler Locklear QB #9 | 33 CAR, 107 YDS | |
| Receiving | Isaiah Myers WR #3 | 20 REC, 419 YDS, 3 TD |
| Mekhi Miller WR #6 | 13 REC, 146 YDS | |
| Jmariyae Robinson WR #0 | 19 REC, 134 YDS | |
| Jeron Askren TE #88 | 8 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jared Lloyd LB #0 | 62 |
| J.J. O'Neal S #16 | 33 | |
| Christian Ford S #29 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Josh Lukusa DE #92 | 1 |
| Malik Ganaway CB #7 | 1 | |
| Jared Lloyd LB #0 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Joel Boamah CB #12 | 1 |
| Jashawn Cooper LB #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.