Wk 11 · 2026
New Mexico State Aggies at Missouri State Bears — Sat, Nov 14
Sat, Nov 14 ·
Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO
Weather
No forecast yet. This one is 34 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
CUSA · 2-4
at
3:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential MOST by 1.0
CUSA · 1-4
What is at stake
A CUSA game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
New Mexico St form
L 3-22at FIUW 34-13vs WKUL 18-42vs UNML 19-29at HAWW 51-14vs MERC
2026 season
Missouri St form
L 13-34at WKUL 24-34at SMUL 24-30vs MRSHW 48-14vs LINL 0-50at TA&M
2026 season
New Mexico St this season
Straight up2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Missouri St this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 6
| Opponent | New Mexico St | Missouri St |
|---|---|---|
| Western KY CUSA | vs W 34-13 preview | at L 13-34 preview |
| FIU CUSA | at L 3-22 preview | at Wk 10 · scheduled preview |
| Sam Houston CUSA | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview |
| Jax State CUSA | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | at Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| Liberty CUSA | vs Wk 10 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
| Delaware CUSA | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 8 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Missouri St leads 1–0 · Missouri St won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
7.0 points toward Missouri St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-10-22 | Missouri St 24 — 17 New Mexico St | at NMSU | Missouri St |
New Mexico St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Trey Hedden QB #3 | 65/124, 906 YDS, 5 TD, 6 INT |
| Adam Damante QB #14 | 43/70, 477 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | James Jones RB #2 | 92 CAR, 599 YDS, 3 TD |
| TJ Washington Jr. RB #0 | 39 CAR, 164 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Jalen Brown RB #28 | 5 CAR, 68 YDS | |
| Receiving | TK King WR #1 | 20 REC, 286 YDS, 3 TD |
| Josiah Thomas TE #15 | 17 REC, 237 YDS | |
| AJ Williams WR #11 | 12 REC, 195 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Terrione Graves WR #9 | 4 REC, 137 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Nick Session S #5 | 50 |
| Tory Gethers LB #6 | 39 | |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Gabe Peterson DE #16 | 4.5 |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 2.5 | |
| Reeves Baller DE #99 | 2 | |
| Interceptions | Nick Session S #5 | 2 |
| Sone Aupiu LB #14 | 1 | |
| Javon Gillespie CB #2 | 1 |
Missouri St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Skyler Locklear QB #9 | 71/108, 788 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Henry Belin IV QB #2 | 19/34, 250 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Breezy Dubar RB #1 | 42 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ramone Green Jr. RB #22 | 46 CAR, 209 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Skyler Locklear QB #9 | 33 CAR, 107 YDS | |
| Receiving | Isaiah Myers WR #3 | 20 REC, 419 YDS, 3 TD |
| Mekhi Miller WR #6 | 13 REC, 146 YDS | |
| Jmariyae Robinson WR #0 | 19 REC, 134 YDS | |
| Jeron Askren TE #88 | 8 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jared Lloyd LB #0 | 62 |
| J.J. O'Neal S #16 | 33 | |
| Christian Ford S #29 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Josh Lukusa DE #92 | 1 |
| Malik Ganaway CB #7 | 1 | |
| Jared Lloyd LB #0 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Joel Boamah CB #12 | 1 |
| Jashawn Cooper LB #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.