Wk 3 · 2026
Marshall Thundering Herd at Missouri State Bears — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Robert W. Plaster Stadium, Springfield, MO
· CBSSN FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
6:30pET
MRSH -4 · total 52.5 DraftKings opened +4.5 · 0.5 toward MOST
Ratings differential MOST by 0.9
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
Marshall form
L 21-27vs CCUL 17-45at JMUW 36-35vs GWEBW 30-24at MOSTW 28-26vs MTSU
2026 season
Missouri St form
L 13-34at WKUL 24-34at SMUL 24-30vs MRSHW 48-14vs LINL 0-50at TA&M
2026 season
Marshall this season
Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Missouri St this season
Straight up1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 0
These teams share no opponents on the 2026 schedule.
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, the series is level at 1–1 · Marshall won the last one
2 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
2.5 points toward Marshall
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-19 | Marshall 30 — 24 Missouri St | at MOST | Marshall |
| 2025 | 2025-09-06 | Missouri St 21 — 20 Marshall | at MRSH | Missouri St |
Marshall leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Carlos Del Rio-Wilson QB #7 | 88/134, 1004 YDS, 6 TD, 2 INT |
| Zion Turner QB #1 | 15/24, 155 YDS, 2 INT | |
| Rushing | Carlos Del Rio-Wilson QB #7 | 60 CAR, 209 YDS, 2 TD |
| Jo'Shon Barbie RB #6 | 42 CAR, 207 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Khalil Wilkins QB #4 | 17 CAR, 121 YDS | |
| Receiving | Xayvion Turner-Bradshaw WR #5 | 22 REC, 324 YDS, 4 TD |
| Toby Payne TE #81 | 19 REC, 147 YDS | |
| Owen Sweeney WR #20 | 10 REC, 128 YDS | |
| De'Andre Tamarez WR #0 | 4 REC, 106 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Caleb Clark-Glover DB #0 | 39 |
| Cannon Lewis LB #27 | 34 | |
| Daytione Smith S #17 | 28 | |
| Sacks | Javae Gilmore LB #5 | 1 |
| Kelvon McBride EDGE #7 | 1 | |
| Terrente Hinton S #3 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Eddie Pleasant III CB #8 | 1 |
| Zah Jackson S #19 | 1 |
Missouri St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Skyler Locklear QB #9 | 71/108, 788 YDS, 4 TD, 2 INT |
| Henry Belin IV QB #2 | 19/34, 250 YDS, 2 TD, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Breezy Dubar RB #1 | 42 CAR, 218 YDS, 2 TD |
| Ramone Green Jr. RB #22 | 46 CAR, 209 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Skyler Locklear QB #9 | 33 CAR, 107 YDS | |
| Receiving | Isaiah Myers WR #3 | 20 REC, 419 YDS, 3 TD |
| Mekhi Miller WR #6 | 13 REC, 146 YDS | |
| Jmariyae Robinson WR #0 | 19 REC, 134 YDS | |
| Jeron Askren TE #88 | 8 REC, 59 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Jared Lloyd LB #0 | 62 |
| J.J. O'Neal S #16 | 33 | |
| Christian Ford S #29 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Josh Lukusa DE #92 | 1 |
| Malik Ganaway CB #7 | 1 | |
| Jared Lloyd LB #0 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Joel Boamah CB #12 | 1 |
| Jashawn Cooper LB #21 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.