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Wk 2 · 2026

Navy Midshipmen at Florida Atlantic Owls — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Flagler Credit Union Stadium, Boca Raton, FL · ESPNU FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 2-3
30
at
7:30pET
NAVY -4 · total 59.5 DraftKings opened +6.5 · 2.5 toward FAU
Ratings differential FAU by 3.0
American · 4-1
38

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Navy: -6.7#95
Efficiency margin
FAU: -6.1#92
Navy: 27.2
Offense (pts/100)
FAU: 30.2
Navy: 24.9
Defense (pts/100)
FAU: 27.2
Navy: 66.4
Pace (plays/g)
FAU: 75.4
Navy: 6.05
Yards / play
FAU: 5.58
Navy: 5.23
Yards / play allowed
FAU: 6.08
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Navy: 27.0
Points / game
FAU: 37.2
Navy: 23.4
Points allowed
FAU: 26.6
Navy: 401
Yards / game
FAU: 421
Navy: 322
Yards allowed
FAU: 404
Navy: 225
Pass yds allowed
FAU: 238
Navy: 97
Rush yds allowed
FAU: 166
Navy: 1.80
Turnovers / game
FAU: 0.60
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Navy form

W 34-26vs TLSAL 9-14at AFL 20-24at UABL 30-38at FAUW 42-15vs TOW
2026 season

FAU form

W 66-10vs TXSOW 45-17at ULMW 16-10vs FIUW 38-30vs NAVYL 21-66at FLA
2026 season

Navy this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

FAU this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Over / under4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentNavyFAU
Tulsa
American
vs W 34-26 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
UTSA
American
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
North Texas
American
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Army
American
N Wk 15 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Navy leads 3–1 · FAU won the last one
4 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 8.0 points toward Navy
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12Navy 30 — 38 FAUat FAUFAU
20252025-10-25FAU 32 — 42 Navyat NAVYNavy
20172017-09-01Navy 42 — 19 FAUat FAUNavy
20122012-11-03FAU 17 — 24 Navyat NAVYNavy

Navy leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Gutierrez QB #817/40, 344 YDS, 3 TD
Braxton Woodson QB #57/20, 71 YDS, 1 INT
RushingBraxton Woodson QB #538 CAR, 299 YDS, 4 TD
Jackson Gutierrez QB #861 CAR, 273 YDS, 4 TD
Vic Listorti RB #4028 CAR, 175 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingTruman Brasfield WR #832 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
Luke Hutchison WR #894 REC, 75 YDS
Jordan Collins TE #842 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Vic Listorti RB #403 REC, 55 YDS
Defense
TacklesMarcAnthony Parker LB #5634
Coleman Cauley LB #5832
Giuseppe Sessi S #1625
SacksMarcAnthony Parker LB #564
Aiden Lyczek DE #652
Marcus Bleazard LB #531
InterceptionsGiuseppe Sessi S #161
Matthew Seliga S #51
Phillip Hamilton CB #61

FAU leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCaden Veltkamp QB #10128/175, 1427 YDS, 12 TD, 2 INT
Drew Devillier QB #186/12, 73 YDS
RushingEthan Ervin RB #2171 CAR, 315 YDS, 2 TD
Leonard Farrow RB #539 CAR, 179 YDS, 2 TD
Brady Tillman III RB #2225 CAR, 104 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingKelby Valsin WR #240 REC, 512 YDS, 5 TD
Easton Messer WR #832 REC, 445 YDS, 3 TD
Dominique Henry WR #924 REC, 262 YDS, 3 TD
Tucker Holloway WR #34 REC, 65 YDS
Defense
TacklesJoseph Sipp Jr. LB #1833
Leon Hart Jr. LB #626
Jayden Sweeney S #2222
SacksJoseph Sipp Jr. LB #182
Josh Roberts DB #101.5
Tycoolhill Luman DL #141
InterceptionsBo Simpson-Nealy DB #202
Chris Tooley III CB #81
Jayden Sweeney S #221
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.