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Wk 7 · 2026

Navy Midshipmen at UTSA Roadrunners — Sat, Oct 17

Sat, Oct 17 · Alamodome, San Antonio, TX · ESPNU

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
American · 2-3
at
8:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UTSA by 9.4
American · 5-1

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Navy: -6.7#95
Efficiency margin
UTSA: +0.3#69
Navy: 27.2
Offense (pts/100)
UTSA: 32.6
Navy: 24.9
Defense (pts/100)
UTSA: 23.3
Navy: 66.4
Pace (plays/g)
UTSA: 66.3
Navy: 6.05
Yards / play
UTSA: 6.05
Navy: 5.23
Yards / play allowed
UTSA: 5.24
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Navy: 27.0
Points / game
UTSA: 31.3
Navy: 23.4
Points allowed
UTSA: 25.8
Navy: 401
Yards / game
UTSA: 402
Navy: 322
Yards allowed
UTSA: 387
Navy: 225
Pass yds allowed
UTSA: 202
Navy: 97
Rush yds allowed
UTSA: 185
Navy: 1.80
Turnovers / game
UTSA: 0.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Navy form

W 34-26vs TLSAL 9-14at AFL 20-24at UABL 30-38at FAUW 42-15vs TOW
2026 season

UTSA form

W 31-24vs USFW 16-14at RICEW 59-45vs CSUL 6-30at TEXW 31-26at TXST
2026 season

Navy this season

Straight up2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Against the spread1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Over / under3-2 · 60% (5 games)

UTSA this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentNavyUTSA
FAU
American
at L 30-38 previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
UAB
American
at L 20-24 previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Tulsa
American
vs W 34-26 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
North Texas
American
vs Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

These teams have not met in the 2006–2026 window.

Navy leaders 2026 regular season

PassingJackson Gutierrez QB #817/40, 344 YDS, 3 TD
Braxton Woodson QB #57/20, 71 YDS, 1 INT
RushingBraxton Woodson QB #538 CAR, 299 YDS, 4 TD
Jackson Gutierrez QB #861 CAR, 273 YDS, 4 TD
Vic Listorti RB #4028 CAR, 175 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingTruman Brasfield WR #832 REC, 107 YDS, 1 TD
Luke Hutchison WR #894 REC, 75 YDS
Jordan Collins TE #842 REC, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Vic Listorti RB #403 REC, 55 YDS
Defense
TacklesMarcAnthony Parker LB #5634
Coleman Cauley LB #5832
Giuseppe Sessi S #1625
SacksMarcAnthony Parker LB #564
Aiden Lyczek DE #652
Marcus Bleazard LB #531
InterceptionsGiuseppe Sessi S #161
Matthew Seliga S #51
Phillip Hamilton CB #61

UTSA leaders 2026 regular season

PassingOwen McCown QB #13125/182, 1219 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
David Amador II WR #181/2, 44 YDS, 1 TD
RushingWill Henderson III RB #1178 CAR, 484 YDS, 3 TD
A'Marion Peterson RB #2839 CAR, 286 YDS, 7 TD
Brandon High Jr. RB #1048 CAR, 231 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDJ Allen Jr. WR #1518 REC, 269 YDS, 2 TD
AJ Wilson WR #8418 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD
Mekhi Anderson WR #1423 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD
David Amador II WR #1828 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBrandon Tucker LB #2346
Darion White LB #4436
Owen Pewee LB #233
SacksOwen Pewee LB #21
Camron Cooper LB #11
James Walley Jr. LB #341
InterceptionsZach Morris CB #201
Joel Rogers S #141
Nate Robinson Jr. S #251
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.