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Wk 11 · 2026

North Texas Mean Green at UTSA Roadrunners — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · Alamodome, San Antonio, TX

Weather

This one is played indoors. There is nothing to forecast.
American · 4-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential UNT by 0.3
American · 5-1

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

North Texas: +3.0#59
Efficiency margin
UTSA: +0.3#69
North Texas: 38.0
Offense (pts/100)
UTSA: 32.6
North Texas: 26.0
Defense (pts/100)
UTSA: 23.3
North Texas: 73.2
Pace (plays/g)
UTSA: 66.3
North Texas: 7.30
Yards / play
UTSA: 6.05
North Texas: 5.52
Yards / play allowed
UTSA: 5.24
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

North Texas: 42.2
Points / game
UTSA: 31.3
North Texas: 29.2
Points allowed
UTSA: 25.8
North Texas: 534
Yards / game
UTSA: 402
North Texas: 356
Yards allowed
UTSA: 387
North Texas: 213
Pass yds allowed
UTSA: 202
North Texas: 143
Rush yds allowed
UTSA: 185
North Texas: 1.17
Turnovers / game
UTSA: 0.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

North Texas form

W 50-10vs CLTW 45-44at TLSAW 63-14vs HCUL 35-49at TXSTW 44-6vs UNLV
2026 season

UTSA form

W 31-24vs USFW 16-14at RICEW 59-45vs CSUL 6-30at TEXW 31-26at TXST
2026 season

North Texas this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

UTSA this season

Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 7

OpponentNorth TexasUTSA
Texas St
Pac-12
at L 35-49 previewat W 31-26 preview
Tulsa
American
at W 45-44 previewvs Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Navy
American
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs Wk 7 · scheduled preview
FAU
American
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Rice
American
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat W 16-14 preview
Tulane
American
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
UAB
American
vs Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, UTSA leads 8–6 · North Texas won the last one
14 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.0 points either way
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-10-18UTSA 17 — 55 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20242024-11-15North Texas 27 — 48 UTSAat UTSAUTSA
20232023-11-04UTSA 37 — 29 North Texasat UNTUTSA
20222022-12-02North Texas 27 — 48 UTSAat UTSAUTSA
20222022-10-22North Texas 27 — 31 UTSAat UTSAUTSA
20212021-11-27UTSA 23 — 45 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20202020-11-28North Texas 17 — 49 UTSAat UTSAUTSA
20192019-09-21UTSA 3 — 45 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20182018-11-24North Texas 24 — 21 UTSAat UTSANorth Texas
20172017-10-14UTSA 26 — 29 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20162016-10-29North Texas 17 — 31 UTSAat UTSAUTSA
20152015-10-31UTSA 23 — 30 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20142014-11-29North Texas 27 — 34 UTSAat UTSAUTSA
20132013-11-23UTSA 21 — 13 North Texasat UNTUTSA

North Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTayven Jackson QB #2119/167, 1519 YDS, 10 TD, 4 INT
Chaston Ditta QB #910/11, 126 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJahiem White RB #184 CAR, 582 YDS, 8 TD
Brendon Haygood RB #2929 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Jimerson Jr. QB #1211 CAR, 57 YDS
ReceivingJustin Stevenson WR #1324 REC, 331 YDS, 3 TD
Corri Milliner WR #020 REC, 325 YDS, 1 TD
Max Reese TE #714 REC, 211 YDS, 2 TD
Josiah Martin WR #611 REC, 161 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Coombes S #445
Zakye Barker LB #341
Brandon Jones S #029
SacksDavion Rhodes DL #912
Zakye Barker LB #32
David Onuoha DL #101.5
InterceptionsJaden Allen CB #191
Bryce Garza S #141
Keshawn Davila CB #11

UTSA leaders 2026 regular season

PassingOwen McCown QB #13125/182, 1219 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT
David Amador II WR #181/2, 44 YDS, 1 TD
RushingWill Henderson III RB #1178 CAR, 484 YDS, 3 TD
A'Marion Peterson RB #2839 CAR, 286 YDS, 7 TD
Brandon High Jr. RB #1048 CAR, 231 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingDJ Allen Jr. WR #1518 REC, 269 YDS, 2 TD
AJ Wilson WR #8418 REC, 235 YDS, 1 TD
Mekhi Anderson WR #1423 REC, 234 YDS, 2 TD
David Amador II WR #1828 REC, 217 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesBrandon Tucker LB #2346
Darion White LB #4436
Owen Pewee LB #233
SacksOwen Pewee LB #21
Camron Cooper LB #11
James Walley Jr. LB #341
InterceptionsZach Morris CB #201
Joel Rogers S #141
Nate Robinson Jr. S #251
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.