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Wk 5 · 2026

North Texas Mean Green at Tulsa Golden Hurricane — Thu, Oct 1

Thu, Oct 1 · H. A. Chapman Stadium, Tulsa, OK · ESPN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 4-2
45
at
9:00pET
UNT -3 · total 56.5 DraftKings opened +1.5 · 1.5 toward UNT
Ratings differential UNT by 6.8
American · 3-3
44

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

North Texas: +3.0#59
Efficiency margin
Tulsa: -6.2#93
North Texas: 38.0
Offense (pts/100)
Tulsa: 27.9
North Texas: 26.0
Defense (pts/100)
Tulsa: 25.0
North Texas: 73.2
Pace (plays/g)
Tulsa: 67.0
North Texas: 7.30
Yards / play
Tulsa: 5.34
North Texas: 5.52
Yards / play allowed
Tulsa: 5.45
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

North Texas: 42.2
Points / game
Tulsa: 27.5
North Texas: 29.2
Points allowed
Tulsa: 23.3
North Texas: 534
Yards / game
Tulsa: 358
North Texas: 356
Yards allowed
Tulsa: 418
North Texas: 213
Pass yds allowed
Tulsa: 243
North Texas: 143
Rush yds allowed
Tulsa: 175
North Texas: 1.17
Turnovers / game
Tulsa: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

North Texas form

W 50-10vs CLTW 45-44at TLSAW 63-14vs HCUL 35-49at TXSTW 44-6vs UNLV
2026 season

Tulsa form

L 26-34at NAVYL 44-45vs UNTL 6-34at ARKW 42-0vs ETAMW 23-17at SHSU
2026 season

North Texas this season

Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Tulsa this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 6

OpponentNorth TexasTulsa
Charlotte
American
vs W 50-10 previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Navy
American
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat L 26-34 preview
FAU
American
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewvs Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Rice
American
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
UTSA
American
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewat Wk 13 · scheduled preview
Tulane
American
at Wk 12 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, North Texas leads 4–3 · North Texas has won the last 4
7 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 0.0 points either way
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-01North Texas 45 — 44 Tulsaat TLSANorth Texas
20242024-09-28Tulsa 20 — 52 North Texasat UNTNorth Texas
20232023-11-18North Texas 35 — 28 Tulsaat TLSANorth Texas
20132013-11-30North Texas 42 — 10 Tulsaat TLSANorth Texas
20112011-10-01North Texas 24 — 41 Tulsaat TLSATulsa
20082008-09-06Tulsa 56 — 26 North Texasat UNTTulsa
20062006-09-16North Texas 3 — 28 Tulsaat TLSATulsa

North Texas leaders 2026 regular season

PassingTayven Jackson QB #2119/167, 1519 YDS, 10 TD, 4 INT
Chaston Ditta QB #910/11, 126 YDS, 1 TD
RushingJahiem White RB #184 CAR, 582 YDS, 8 TD
Brendon Haygood RB #2929 CAR, 114 YDS, 2 TD
Chris Jimerson Jr. QB #1211 CAR, 57 YDS
ReceivingJustin Stevenson WR #1324 REC, 331 YDS, 3 TD
Corri Milliner WR #020 REC, 325 YDS, 1 TD
Max Reese TE #714 REC, 211 YDS, 2 TD
Josiah Martin WR #611 REC, 161 YDS
Defense
TacklesCJ Coombes S #445
Zakye Barker LB #341
Brandon Jones S #029
SacksDavion Rhodes DL #912
Zakye Barker LB #32
David Onuoha DL #101.5
InterceptionsJaden Allen CB #191
Bryce Garza S #141
Keshawn Davila CB #11

Tulsa leaders 2026 regular season

PassingBaylor Hayes QB #1058/96, 564 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT
Dexter Williams II QB #534/59, 340 YDS, 3 TD
RushingDamari Alston RB #668 CAR, 292 YDS, 5 TD
Trequan Jones RB #2035 CAR, 221 YDS, 2 TD
Seth Davis RB #239 CAR, 90 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingOran Singleton Jr. WR #226 REC, 306 YDS, 2 TD
Jimmy Calloway WR #712 REC, 123 YDS
Javon Ross WR #913 REC, 122 YDS, 1 TD
Donnell Gee Jr. WR #08 REC, 99 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesChris Thompson Jr. LB #649
Dax Collins LB #939
Zane Woodham DB #2725
SacksThomas Davis DL #154
Kyran Duhon DL #04
Dax Collins LB #92.5
InterceptionsThomas Davis DL #151
JD Drew CB #31
Zach Williams S #11
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.