Wk 3 · 2026
North Dakota State Bison at Sacramento State Hornets — Sat, Sep 19
Sat, Sep 19 ·
Hornet Stadium, Sacramento, CA
· ESPN FINAL
Weather
No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
at
10:30pET
NDSU -26.5 · total 50.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential NDSU by 25.4
What is at stake
A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
N Dakota St form
L 7-13at UNLVW 28-0vs WYOW 31-10at SACW 38-32at AFW 38-0vs FOR
2026 season
Sacramento St form
L 10-38at BGSUL 6-35vs MASSL 10-31vs NDSUL 3-49at FRESW 52-0vs MVSU
2026 season
N Dakota St this season
Straight up5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Sacramento St this season
Straight up1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 1
| Opponent | N Dakota St | Sacramento St |
|---|---|---|
| Hawai'i Mountain West | at Wk 11 · scheduled preview | at Wk 13 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, N Dakota St leads 1–0 · N Dakota St won the last one
1 meeting
in 2006–2026 · average margin
21.0 points toward N Dakota St
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 2026-09-19 | N Dakota St 31 — 10 Sacramento St | at SAC | N Dakota St |
N Dakota St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Nathan Hayes QB #2 | 75/116, 995 YDS, 7 TD, 2 INT |
| Trey Drake QB #10 | 3/4, 35 YDS | |
| Rushing | DJ Scott RB #7 | 70 CAR, 298 YDS, 4 TD |
| Myles Mitchell RB #5 | 46 CAR, 214 YDS, 3 TD | |
| Nyeoti Punni RB #4 | 26 CAR, 129 YDS | |
| Receiving | Jackson Williams WR #18 | 22 REC, 358 YDS, 1 TD |
| Mekhi Collins WR #15 | 10 REC, 164 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Reis Kessel TE #81 | 13 REC, 150 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Jordan McCants WR #11 | 2 REC, 79 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Donovan Woolen LB #1 | 35 |
| Darius Givance S #29 | 27 | |
| Gavin Sell LB #3 | 26 | |
| Sacks | Kelton McCaslin DE #9 | 3 |
| Peder Haugo LB #41 | 1 | |
| Matthew Stenbroten DE #11 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Marion Moore CB #16 | 2 |
| Keith Williams LB #52 | 1 | |
| Taylen Eady S #14 | 1 |
Sacramento St leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Jackson Sharman QB #8 | 82/142, 856 YDS, 5 TD, 5 INT |
| Carson Conklin QB #17 | 25/46, 222 YDS, 1 INT | |
| Rushing | Isaiah Ene RB #22 | 29 CAR, 141 YDS, 1 TD |
| Daniel Swinney RB #0 | 28 CAR, 139 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Cincere Rhaney RB #3 | 30 CAR, 120 YDS | |
| Receiving | Matt Coleman WR #2 | 26 REC, 369 YDS, 3 TD |
| Onterrio Smith Jr. WR #12 | 22 REC, 240 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Raiden Brown WR #5 | 16 REC, 149 YDS | |
| Jordan Williams TE #16 | 15 REC, 122 YDS |
Defense
| Tackles | Boogsie Silvera S #1 | 33 |
| Amari Wallace S #3 | 24 | |
| Alex Rocha LB #33 | 21 | |
| Sacks | Fata Puloka LB #18 | 1.5 |
| Nick Dimitris DL #5 | 1 | |
| Alex Rocha LB #33 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.