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Wk 5 · 2026

Purdue Boilermakers at Illinois Fighting Illini — Sat, Oct 3

Sat, Oct 3 · Gies Memorial Stadium, Champaign, IL · BTN FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Big Ten · 3-3
24
at
4:15pET
ILL -10 · total 62.5 DraftKings
Ratings differential ILL by 4.2
Big Ten · 3-3
17

What is at stake

Purdue Cannon. A cannon Purdue students smuggled into Champaign in 1905 to fire after a win, got caught, and lost for 38 years — now it goes to the winner every fall. They play for the Purdue Cannon. A Big Ten game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

Purdue: +3.1#57
Efficiency margin
Illinois: +4.9#47
Purdue: 34.4
Offense (pts/100)
Illinois: 34.5
Purdue: 22.2
Defense (pts/100)
Illinois: 20.6
Purdue: 69.0
Pace (plays/g)
Illinois: 62.2
Purdue: 6.02
Yards / play
Illinois: 6.52
Purdue: 6.53
Yards / play allowed
Illinois: 5.82
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

Purdue: 32.2
Points / game
Illinois: 31.8
Purdue: 31.3
Points allowed
Illinois: 27.8
Purdue: 416
Yards / game
Illinois: 406
Purdue: 401
Yards allowed
Illinois: 375
Purdue: 243
Pass yds allowed
Illinois: 248
Purdue: 158
Rush yds allowed
Illinois: 127
Purdue: 0.67
Turnovers / game
Illinois: 0.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

Purdue form

W 41-13vs MINNW 24-17at ILLL 10-49vs NDL 38-52at UCLAL 36-38vs WAKE
2026 season

Illinois form

W 38-37at MSUL 17-24vs PURL 19-42at OSUW 48-10vs SIUL 27-31vs DUKE
2026 season

Purdue this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread3-2-1 · 60% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)

Illinois this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 3

OpponentPurdueIllinois
UCLA
Big Ten
at L 38-52 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Maryland
Big Ten
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Iowa
Big Ten
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 12 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Purdue leads 13–6 · Purdue won the last one
19 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.4 points toward Purdue
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-10-03Purdue 24 — 17 Illinoisat ILLPurdue
20252025-10-04Illinois 43 — 27 Purdueat PURIllinois
20242024-10-12Purdue 49 — 50 Illinoisat ILLIllinois
20232023-09-30Illinois 19 — 44 Purdueat PURPurdue
20222022-11-12Purdue 31 — 24 Illinoisat ILLPurdue
20212021-09-25Illinois 9 — 13 Purdueat PURPurdue
20202020-10-31Purdue 31 — 24 Illinoisat ILLPurdue
20192019-10-26Illinois 24 — 6 Purdueat PURIllinois
20182018-10-13Purdue 46 — 7 Illinoisat ILLPurdue
20172017-11-04Illinois 10 — 29 Purdueat PURPurdue
20162016-10-08Purdue 34 — 31 Illinoisat ILLPurdue
20152015-11-07Illinois 48 — 14 Purdueat PURIllinois
20142014-10-04Purdue 38 — 27 Illinoisat ILLPurdue
20132013-11-23Illinois 20 — 16 Purdueat PURIllinois
20122012-11-17Purdue 20 — 17 Illinoisat ILLPurdue
20112011-10-22Illinois 14 — 21 Purdueat PURPurdue
20102010-10-30Purdue 10 — 44 Illinoisat ILLIllinois
20092009-10-24Illinois 14 — 24 Purdueat PURPurdue
20062006-11-11Purdue 42 — 31 Illinoisat ILLPurdue

Purdue leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRyan Browne QB #15110/156, 1390 YDS, 8 TD, 1 INT
Evans Chuba QB #111/14, 96 YDS, 1 TD
RushingFame Ijeboi RB #286 CAR, 354 YDS, 6 TD
Antonio Harris RB #2215 CAR, 68 YDS, 1 TD
Jerrick Gibson RB #418 CAR, 58 YDS
ReceivingAsaad Waseem WR #1927 REC, 453 YDS, 1 TD
Xavier Townsend WR #328 REC, 307 YDS, 2 TD
Chauncey Magwood WR #514 REC, 177 YDS, 1 TD
Tra'Mar Harris WR #118 REC, 105 YDS, 2 TD
Defense
TacklesJojo Hayden LB #033
John Slaughter DB #1332
Charles Correa LB #532
SacksJeremy Lewis DE #331.5
Breeon Ishmail DE #581
Ian Jeffries DL #401
InterceptionsJohn Slaughter DB #131
Don Saunders DB #71
Charles Correa LB #51

Illinois leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKatin Houser QB #4102/155, 1246 YDS, 11 TD, 3 INT
RushingAidan Laughery RB #2145 CAR, 321 YDS, 1 TD
Ca'Lil Valentine RB #550 CAR, 225 YDS, 1 TD
Katin Houser QB #425 CAR, 106 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingCollin Dixon WR #1740 REC, 546 YDS, 8 TD
Hudson Clement WR #1321 REC, 299 YDS
Ty Robinson WR #1011 REC, 159 YDS, 3 TD
Brayden Trimble WR #1115 REC, 116 YDS
Defense
TacklesMatthew Bailey DB #737
Ismael Kante LB #2629
Juice Clarke DB #624
SacksWill Holmes DL #241
Ean Rhea LB #401
Joe Barna DL #430.5
InterceptionsMatthew Bailey DB #71
Ismael Kante LB #261
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.