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Wk 9 · 2026

UConn Huskies at Air Force Falcons — Sat, Oct 31

Sat, Oct 31 · Falcon Stadium, USAF Academy, CO · MW+

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 20 days away. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
FBS Indep. · 3-3
at
3:00pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential CONN by 1.0
Mountain West · 4-1

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

UConn: -3.2#81
Efficiency margin
Air Force: -6.6#94
UConn: 31.7
Offense (pts/100)
Air Force: 27.1
UConn: 25.9
Defense (pts/100)
Air Force: 24.7
UConn: 65.8
Pace (plays/g)
Air Force: 73.2
UConn: 6.82
Yards / play
Air Force: 5.45
UConn: 5.63
Yards / play allowed
Air Force: 5.38
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

UConn: 35.7
Points / game
Air Force: 28.8
UConn: 25.2
Points allowed
Air Force: 17.4
UConn: 449
Yards / game
Air Force: 399
UConn: 407
Yards allowed
Air Force: 280
UConn: 290
Pass yds allowed
Air Force: 158
UConn: 117
Rush yds allowed
Air Force: 122
UConn: 1.17
Turnovers / game
Air Force: 0.80
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

UConn form

W 34-20at TEML 41-42vs SYRL 21-24at M-OHW 48-20at USML 14-38vs MD
2026 season

Air Force form

W 28-7at NIUW 14-9vs NAVYW 36-33at NEVL 32-38vs NDSUW 34-0vs DUQ
2026 season

UConn this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)

Air Force this season

Straight up4-1 · 80% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 1

OpponentUConnAir Force
Wyoming
Mountain West
at Wk 13 · scheduled previewat Wk 8 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, UConn leads 1–0 · UConn won the last one
1 meeting in 2006–2026 · average margin 10.0 points toward UConn
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-15Air Force 16 — 26 UConnat CONNUConn

UConn leaders 2026 regular season

PassingKalieb Osborne QB #781/140, 1164 YDS, 10 TD, 2 INT
Tucker McDonald QB #129/11, 118 YDS, 1 TD, 1 INT
RushingCyncir Bowers RB #2347 CAR, 349 YDS, 5 TD
Kalieb Osborne QB #753 CAR, 243 YDS, 5 TD
Kenji Christian RB #337 CAR, 153 YDS, 1 TD
ReceivingJavon Brown WR #1914 REC, 202 YDS, 2 TD
Shamar Porter WR #59 REC, 196 YDS, 2 TD
JD Willoughby WR #28 REC, 163 YDS, 1 TD
Ryder Treadway WR #1112 REC, 163 YDS
Defense
TacklesHayden Pegg LB #3735
K'Von Sherman LB #032
Braedyn Moore DB #430
SacksK'Von Sherman LB #03
Joshua Mickens DE #521
Anas Luqman DL #151
InterceptionsBraedyn Moore DB #41
Anas Luqman DL #151
Renick Dorilas DB #61

Air Force leaders 2026 regular season

PassingLiam Szarka QB #919/38, 296 YDS, 1 TD, 4 INT
Evan Medders QB #53/7, 47 YDS, 1 TD
RushingLiam Szarka QB #992 CAR, 391 YDS, 7 TD
Rocco Conti RB #4435 CAR, 187 YDS, 1 TD
Kemper Hodges QB #423 CAR, 146 YDS, 2 TD
ReceivingSimon Kibbee TE #806 REC, 103 YDS
Adam Hrynciw WR #104 REC, 83 YDS, 1 TD
Matt Long WR #34 REC, 80 YDS, 2 TD
Jonah Dawson WR #83 REC, 39 YDS
Defense
TacklesBlake Fletcher LB #644
Dallas Daley LB #828
Max Mustell DB #3615
SacksMax Mustell DB #362
Jaylin Reese LB #451.5
Blake Fletcher LB #61
InterceptionsMax Mustell DB #361
Blake Fletcher LB #61
Korey Johnson DB #21
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.