Wk 8 · 2026
Western Michigan Broncos at Toledo Rockets — Sat, Oct 24
Sat, Oct 24 ·
Glass Bowl, Toledo, OH
Weather
53° / 41° overcast
14% chance of precipitation
Kickoff time is not set yet, so this is the forecast for the day rather than for the hour.
Forecast from Open-Meteo
MAC · 4-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential TOL by 1.5
MAC · 4-2
What is at stake
A MAC game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.
What the ratings imply
The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers:
The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus
2.4 points of home field.
It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site
compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026
games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have
changed.
Efficiency · 2026 ratings
Efficiency margin
Offense (pts/100)
Defense (pts/100)
Pace (plays/g)
Yards / play
Yards / play allowed
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College
King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so
the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a
longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the
good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so
neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.
Team stats · 2026 per game
Points / game
Points allowed
Yards / game
Yards allowed
Pass yds allowed
Rush yds allowed
Turnovers / game
From completed 2026 box scores;
defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.
W Michigan form
W 38-7vs KENTW 20-17at BUFL 7-32vs BOISW 28-21at RICEW 49-14vs MONM
2026 season
Toledo form
L 8-23vs BUFW 39-24at BALLW 41-16vs SDSUW 49-48vs TEMW 63-10vs CCSU
2026 season
W Michigan this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Toledo this season
Straight up4-2 · 67% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under5-1 · 83% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.
Common opponents · 3
| Opponent | W Michigan | Toledo |
|---|---|---|
| Buffalo MAC | at W 20-17 preview | vs L 8-23 preview |
| Bowling Green MAC | vs Wk 9 · scheduled preview | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview |
| E Michigan MAC | vs Wk 12 · scheduled preview | at Wk 7 · scheduled preview |
Open these two in the
comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.
Series history · 2006–2026
Since 2006, Toledo leads 10–9 · W Michigan won the last one
19 meetings
in 2006–2026 · average margin
2.6 points toward Toledo
| Yr | Date | Result | Site | Won |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 2025-09-20 | Toledo 13 — 14 W Michigan | at WMU | W Michigan |
| 2023 | 2023-09-23 | W Michigan 31 — 49 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2022 | 2022-11-25 | Toledo 14 — 20 W Michigan | at WMU | W Michigan |
| 2021 | 2021-10-23 | W Michigan 15 — 34 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2020 | 2020-11-11 | Toledo 38 — 41 W Michigan | at WMU | W Michigan |
| 2019 | 2019-10-05 | W Michigan 24 — 31 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2018 | 2018-10-25 | Toledo 51 — 24 W Michigan | at WMU | Toledo |
| 2017 | 2017-11-24 | W Michigan 10 — 37 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2016 | 2016-11-25 | Toledo 35 — 55 W Michigan | at WMU | W Michigan |
| 2015 | 2015-11-27 | W Michigan 35 — 30 Toledo | at TOL | W Michigan |
| 2014 | 2014-10-04 | Toledo 20 — 19 W Michigan | at WMU | Toledo |
| 2013 | 2013-10-05 | W Michigan 20 — 47 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2012 | 2012-09-29 | Toledo 37 — 17 W Michigan | at WMU | Toledo |
| 2011 | 2011-11-08 | W Michigan 63 — 66 Toledo | at TOL | Toledo |
| 2010 | 2010-09-18 | Toledo 37 — 24 W Michigan | at WMU | Toledo |
| 2009 | 2009-10-10 | W Michigan 58 — 26 Toledo | at TOL | W Michigan |
| 2008 | 2008-11-15 | Toledo 17 — 27 W Michigan | at WMU | W Michigan |
| 2007 | 2007-09-29 | W Michigan 42 — 28 Toledo | at TOL | W Michigan |
| 2006 | 2006-09-09 | Toledo 10 — 31 W Michigan | at WMU | W Michigan |
W Michigan leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | Broc Lowry QB #12 | 77/113, 739 YDS, 4 TD, 1 INT |
| Trey Petty QB #10 | 4/6, 54 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | Jalen Buckley RB #6 | 62 CAR, 287 YDS, 5 TD |
| Broc Lowry QB #12 | 56 CAR, 170 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Ofa Mataele RB #24 | 32 CAR, 130 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Aveion Chenault WR #2 | 18 REC, 272 YDS, 1 TD |
| Nate Levicki TE #88 | 8 REC, 112 YDS | |
| Baylin Brooks WR #7 | 14 REC, 106 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Egypt Nelson WR #8 | 11 REC, 81 YDS, 1 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Justyce Betts LB #10 | 35 |
| Domanick Moon LB #47 | 31 | |
| Dillon Moore LB #12 | 31 | |
| Sacks | Dillon Moore LB #12 | 1.5 |
| KJ Burley DE #15 | 1.5 | |
| Domanick Moon LB #47 | 1 | |
| Interceptions | Dillon Moore LB #12 | 1 |
Toledo leaders 2026 regular season
| Passing | John Alan Richter QB #6 | 98/153, 1362 YDS, 13 TD, 1 INT |
| Walter Moses QB #11 | 1/1, 40 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Rushing | CJ Miller RB #22 | 54 CAR, 346 YDS, 4 TD |
| Connor Walendzak RB #8 | 57 CAR, 336 YDS, 6 TD | |
| Autavius Ison RB #4 | 39 CAR, 175 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Receiving | Adjatay Dabbs WR #3 | 25 REC, 367 YDS, 4 TD |
| Bryson Hammer WR #12 | 16 REC, 298 YDS, 2 TD | |
| Rico Bond WR #1 | 11 REC, 192 YDS, 1 TD | |
| Daryl Barnett Jr. WR #19 | 10 REC, 164 YDS, 2 TD |
Defense
| Tackles | Isaac Zay LB #44 | 41 |
| Armorion Smith S #7 | 38 | |
| Julian Fox LB #10 | 36 | |
| Sacks | Andrew Zock DE #0 | 3.5 |
| Lucas Lambert-Pipkin DT #52 | 2 | |
| Isaac Zay LB #44 | 1.5 | |
| Interceptions | Isaac Zay LB #44 | 2 |
| Julian Fox LB #10 | 1 |
These are regular-season totals for
the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year,
taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's
roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still
appears against the year he earned it; the
roster
pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is.
A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster
pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.