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Wk 2 · 2026

App State Mountaineers at East Carolina Pirates — Sat, Sep 12

Sat, Sep 12 · Dowdy-Ficklen Stadium, Greenville, NC · ESPNU FINAL

Weather

No forecast yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
Sun Belt · 3-2
27
at
12:00pET
ECU -6.5 · total 55.5 DraftKings opened -11.5 · 5 toward APP
Ratings differential ECU by 6.5
American · 3-2
24

What is at stake

A non-conference game. It moves both overall records but neither conference race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

App State: -8.8#102
Efficiency margin
East Carolina: -4.7#88
App State: 26.5
Offense (pts/100)
East Carolina: 27.0
App State: 26.3
Defense (pts/100)
East Carolina: 22.7
App State: 67.2
Pace (plays/g)
East Carolina: 63.2
App State: 5.99
Yards / play
East Carolina: 5.44
App State: 4.76
Yards / play allowed
East Carolina: 4.54
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

App State: 28.4
Points / game
East Carolina: 24.8
App State: 19.8
Points allowed
East Carolina: 22.6
App State: 403
Yards / game
East Carolina: 344
App State: 335
Yards allowed
East Carolina: 319
App State: 198
Pass yds allowed
East Carolina: 173
App State: 138
Rush yds allowed
East Carolina: 147
App State: 1.20
Turnovers / game
East Carolina: 1.60
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

App State form

L 3-10vs ODUL 31-41at NCSUW 26-21vs CLTW 27-24at ECUW 55-3vs ME
2026 season

East Carolina form

W 28-12vs RICEW 42-9vs NCCUW 20-17at ODUL 24-27vs APPL 10-48at ALA
2026 season

App State this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Over / under2-3 · 40% (5 games)

East Carolina this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 2

OpponentApp StateEast Carolina
Charlotte
American
vs W 26-21 previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
Old Dominion
Sun Belt
vs L 3-10 previewat W 20-17 preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, App State leads 4–2 · App State has won the last 4
6 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 1.2 points toward App State
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20262026-09-12App State 27 — 24 East Carolinaat ECUApp State
20242024-09-14App State 21 — 19 East Carolinaat ECUApp State
20232023-09-16East Carolina 28 — 43 App Stateat APPApp State
20212021-09-02East Carolina 19 — 33 App StateneutralApp State
20122012-09-01App State 13 — 35 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina
20092009-09-05App State 24 — 29 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina

App State leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMalachi Singleton QB #396/132, 1206 YDS, 7 TD, 1 INT
Henry Hasselbeck QB #84/5, 51 YDS
RushingJaquari Lewis RB #547 CAR, 220 YDS, 4 TD
Ja'Quez Cross RB #1118 CAR, 105 YDS
Henry Hasselbeck QB #811 CAR, 78 YDS
ReceivingSam Pickett III WR #020 REC, 326 YDS, 3 TD
Nate Branch WR #120 REC, 203 YDS
Darrin Fugitt TE #716 REC, 192 YDS, 1 TD
Chris Lofton WR #612 REC, 148 YDS, 1 TD
Defense
TacklesColton Phares LB #1023
Alex Mitchell LB #1520
Devin Henderson DB #720
SacksCaleb Sandstrom DL #414
Colton Phares LB #101
Carson Sloan LB #51
InterceptionsDre Walker DB #82
Colton Phares LB #101
Khalil Conley DB #61

East Carolina leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMitch Griffis QB #1236/67, 425 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
Emory Williams QB #931/46, 386 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
RushingTJ Engleman Jr. RB #431 CAR, 250 YDS, 2 TD
Ashton Gray RB #332 CAR, 152 YDS
Mitch Griffis QB #1222 CAR, 75 YDS
ReceivingRay Ray Joseph Jr. WR #119 REC, 199 YDS
Jeremiah Melvin WR #1111 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
Dillon Lorick WR #143 REC, 87 YDS
Tyler Johnson WR #24 REC, 86 YDS
Defense
TacklesDJ Johnson Jr. LB #1129
Jackson Barker LB #125
Kevon Merrell Jr. DB #424
SacksJasiyah Robinson DL #02.5
Kieran Davis DL #52
Julien Davis LB #421
InterceptionsAyden Duncanson DB #132
Myles Pollard DB #121
Angelo Ross DB #221
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.