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Wk 11 · 2026

East Carolina Pirates at Charlotte 49ers — Sat, Nov 14

Sat, Nov 14 · Jerry Richardson Stadium, Charlotte, NC

Weather

No forecast yet. This one is 33 days away and has no kickoff time yet. Forecasts reach about 16 days ahead, so this fills in nearer the game. A seasonal average printed here would look exactly like a forecast, which is why there is not one.
American · 3-2
at
TBDET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ECU by 17.9
American · 0-6

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

East Carolina: -4.7#88
Efficiency margin
Charlotte: -25.0#138
East Carolina: 27.0
Offense (pts/100)
Charlotte: 18.2
East Carolina: 22.7
Defense (pts/100)
Charlotte: 34.2
East Carolina: 63.2
Pace (plays/g)
Charlotte: 56.0
East Carolina: 5.44
Yards / play
Charlotte: 5.14
East Carolina: 4.54
Yards / play allowed
Charlotte: 6.45
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

East Carolina: 24.8
Points / game
Charlotte: 16.0
East Carolina: 22.6
Points allowed
Charlotte: 42.2
East Carolina: 344
Yards / game
Charlotte: 288
East Carolina: 319
Yards allowed
Charlotte: 467
East Carolina: 173
Pass yds allowed
Charlotte: 283
East Carolina: 147
Rush yds allowed
Charlotte: 184
East Carolina: 1.60
Turnovers / game
Charlotte: 2.50
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

East Carolina form

W 28-12vs RICEW 42-9vs NCCUW 20-17at ODUL 24-27vs APPL 10-48at ALA
2026 season

Charlotte form

L 10-50at UNTL 8-59vs MEML 7-34vs ULL 21-26at APPL 9-41at MISS
2026 season

East Carolina this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

Charlotte this season

Straight up0-6 · 0% (6 games)
Against the spread2-4 · 33% (6 games)
Over / under3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentEast CarolinaCharlotte
App State
Sun Belt
vs L 24-27 previewat L 21-26 preview
UAB
American
at Wk 7 · scheduled previewat Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Memphis
American
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewvs L 8-59 preview
Temple
American
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 7 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, Charlotte leads 2–1 · East Carolina won the last one
3 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 2.7 points toward Charlotte
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20252025-11-08Charlotte 22 — 48 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina
20242024-10-05East Carolina 24 — 55 Charlotteat CLTCharlotte
20232023-10-21Charlotte 10 — 7 East Carolinaat ECUCharlotte

East Carolina leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMitch Griffis QB #1236/67, 425 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
Emory Williams QB #931/46, 386 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
RushingTJ Engleman Jr. RB #431 CAR, 250 YDS, 2 TD
Ashton Gray RB #332 CAR, 152 YDS
Mitch Griffis QB #1222 CAR, 75 YDS
ReceivingRay Ray Joseph Jr. WR #119 REC, 199 YDS
Jeremiah Melvin WR #1111 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
Dillon Lorick WR #143 REC, 87 YDS
Tyler Johnson WR #24 REC, 86 YDS
Defense
TacklesDJ Johnson Jr. LB #1129
Jackson Barker LB #125
Kevon Merrell Jr. DB #424
SacksJasiyah Robinson DL #02.5
Kieran Davis DL #52
Julien Davis LB #421
InterceptionsAyden Duncanson DB #132
Myles Pollard DB #121
Angelo Ross DB #221

Charlotte leaders 2026 regular season

PassingCole Gonzales QB #979/127, 802 YDS, 3 TD, 7 INT
Conner Harrell QB #1513/19, 93 YDS
RushingKhamani Alexander RB #544 CAR, 201 YDS, 3 TD
Henry Rutledge RB #2123 CAR, 170 YDS, 1 TD
Chance Williams RB #720 CAR, 116 YDS
ReceivingJaden Barnes WR #126 REC, 249 YDS
Jaylen Hampton WR #220 REC, 224 YDS, 2 TD
Derrick Eley WR #8912 REC, 189 YDS, 1 TD
Khamani Alexander RB #57 REC, 47 YDS
Defense
TacklesGavin Willis LB #1344
Kadin Schmitz LB #1934
Collin Gill DB #031
SacksCollin Gill DB #02
DJ Burgess DL #71
Kadin Schmitz LB #191
InterceptionsCollin Gill DB #01
Devon St. Clair DB #261
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.