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Wk 7 · 2026

East Carolina Pirates at UAB Blazers — Thu, Oct 15

Thu, Oct 15 · Protective Stadium, Birmingham, AL · ESPN

Weather at kickoff

80°F clear
5% chance of precipitation · wind 2 mph
Forecast from Open-Meteo
American · 3-2
at
7:30pET
no line posted yet
Ratings differential ECU by 6.7
American · 3-3

What is at stake

A American game — it counts in the standings that decide that league's championship game. Run the race.

What the ratings imply

The differential above is arithmetic on two published numbers: The CFB King’s 2026 final efficiency ratings, plus 2.4 points of home field. It is not a projection, a value, an edge or a lean, and nothing on this site compares it with the betting line to tell you one is better. Until 2026 games are played it is last season’s measurement of two teams that have changed.

Efficiency · 2026 ratings

East Carolina: -4.7#88
Efficiency margin
UAB: -13.8#119
East Carolina: 27.0
Offense (pts/100)
UAB: 22.9
East Carolina: 22.7
Defense (pts/100)
UAB: 27.7
East Carolina: 63.2
Pace (plays/g)
UAB: 66.7
East Carolina: 5.44
Yards / play
UAB: 5.03
East Carolina: 4.54
Yards / play allowed
UAB: 5.14
Opponent-adjusted ratings from The College King's 2026 final numbers. Bars share a scale within each row, so the two lengths are comparable; the brighter side is the better of the two, and a longer bar is the better number — including the rows where a lower figure is the good one. Pace is the exception: it is how fast a team plays, not how well, so neither side is lit and a longer bar there means only more plays.

Team stats · 2026 per game

East Carolina: 24.8
Points / game
UAB: 22.2
East Carolina: 22.6
Points allowed
UAB: 25.8
East Carolina: 344
Yards / game
UAB: 335
East Carolina: 319
Yards allowed
UAB: 317
East Carolina: 173
Pass yds allowed
UAB: 126
East Carolina: 147
Rush yds allowed
UAB: 191
East Carolina: 1.60
Turnovers / game
UAB: 1.67
From completed 2026 box scores; defensive yardage covers the regular season and conference championships.

East Carolina form

W 28-12vs RICEW 42-9vs NCCUW 20-17at ODUL 24-27vs APPL 10-48at ALA
2026 season

UAB form

L 13-38at MEMW 33-14vs SAMW 24-20vs NAVYL 14-21at ULW 26-20vs ULM
2026 season

East Carolina this season

Straight up3-2 · 60% (5 games)
Against the spread2-3 · 40% (5 games)
Over / under1-4 · 20% (5 games)

UAB this season

Straight up3-3 · 50% (6 games)
Against the spread2-3-1 · 40% (6 games)
Over / under1-5 · 17% (6 games)
Lines are captured from ESPN's board before kickoff and locked at kickoff, so an in-play price cannot overwrite the number a game is graded against.

Common opponents · 4

OpponentEast CarolinaUAB
Memphis
American
at Wk 8 · scheduled previewat L 13-38 preview
Temple
American
vs Wk 9 · scheduled previewat Wk 11 · scheduled preview
South Florida
American
vs Wk 10 · scheduled previewat Wk 9 · scheduled preview
Charlotte
American
at Wk 11 · scheduled previewvs Wk 10 · scheduled preview
Open these two in the comparison tool for every shared and unshared opponent.

Series history · 2006–2026

Since 2006, East Carolina leads 7–1 · East Carolina has won the last 7
8 meetings in 2006–2026 · average margin 15.4 points toward East Carolina
Yr DateResultSiteWon
20132013-11-16UAB 14 — 63 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina
20122012-10-20East Carolina 42 — 35 UABat UABEast Carolina
20112011-09-24UAB 23 — 28 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina
20102010-11-11East Carolina 54 — 42 UABat UABEast Carolina
20092009-11-21UAB 21 — 37 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina
20082008-11-22East Carolina 17 — 13 UABat UABEast Carolina
20072007-10-27UAB 6 — 41 East Carolinaat ECUEast Carolina
20062006-09-09East Carolina 12 — 17 UABat UABUAB

East Carolina leaders 2026 regular season

PassingMitch Griffis QB #1236/67, 425 YDS, 3 TD, 2 INT
Emory Williams QB #931/46, 386 YDS, 3 TD, 1 INT
RushingTJ Engleman Jr. RB #431 CAR, 250 YDS, 2 TD
Ashton Gray RB #332 CAR, 152 YDS
Mitch Griffis QB #1222 CAR, 75 YDS
ReceivingRay Ray Joseph Jr. WR #119 REC, 199 YDS
Jeremiah Melvin WR #1111 REC, 154 YDS, 1 TD
Dillon Lorick WR #143 REC, 87 YDS
Tyler Johnson WR #24 REC, 86 YDS
Defense
TacklesDJ Johnson Jr. LB #1129
Jackson Barker LB #125
Kevon Merrell Jr. DB #424
SacksJasiyah Robinson DL #02.5
Kieran Davis DL #52
Julien Davis LB #421
InterceptionsAyden Duncanson DB #132
Myles Pollard DB #121
Angelo Ross DB #221

UAB leaders 2026 regular season

PassingRyder Burton QB #562/110, 791 YDS, 4 TD, 4 INT
Nate Rogers QB #161/2, 13 YDS
RushingRoderick Robinson II RB #274 CAR, 338 YDS
Bam McReynolds RB #354 CAR, 260 YDS, 4 TD
Ja'Vin Simpkins RB #727 CAR, 108 YDS
ReceivingCJ Smith WR #110 REC, 223 YDS, 1 TD
Ty Mims WR #014 REC, 223 YDS, 1 TD
EJ Reid WR #416 REC, 140 YDS, 1 TD
Scott Isacks TE #445 REC, 46 YDS
Defense
TacklesMuaaz Byard LB #3548
Ike Esonwune LB #337
Jeremiah Jordan DB #1331
SacksMarlin Dean LB #45
Tylin Jackson DL #173
Jo'Tavion Pierce DB #02.5
InterceptionsIke Esonwune LB #32
Jeremiah Jordan DB #131
Delvon Gulley CB #51
These are regular-season totals for the season named on each card — the players who led that team that year, taken from ESPN's team leaders. That list is keyed to the season, not to today's roster, so a leader who has since transferred or run out of eligibility still appears against the year he earned it; the roster pages and the depth chart on each team page are where the current squad is. A team switches to this season's numbers once it has played a game. The roster pages count bowl games too, so a player's two lines can differ by a game.